Georgia State vs. Louisiana - 1/10/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana at Georgia State
Thursday, January 10, 2019 at 7:00 PM (GSU Sports Arena)
Georgia State Panthers -7.5 -- Over/Under: 155
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will travel to GSU Sports Arena to take on the Georgia State Panthers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns improved to 10-5 (1-1 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Little Rock Trojans, 75-61, this past Saturday night. Louisiana did an outstanding job forcing turnovers on the defensive end and pulled away for the victory after a 7-2 run gave the Ragin’ Cajuns a 63-48 lead with just 6:23 left in regulation. Louisiana shot 42.9% from the field and forced Little Rock into committing 23 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Ragin’ Cajuns was JaKeenan Gant who had a monster double-double with 45 points, 11 rebounds, 2 steals, and an assist.
On the season, Louisiana is averaging 82.8 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field. The Ragin’ Cajuns are averaging 9.0 three-pointers per game on 34.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Louisiana has been led by JaKeenan Gant (18.5 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 3.0 bpg), Malik Marquetti (15.1 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.2 spg), Marcus Stroman (12.6 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 6.4 apg, 2.4 spg), and Justin Miller (10.3 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 1.5 apg).
Defensively, Louisiana is allowing their opponents to average 77.9 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field. The Ragin’ Cajuns have a rebound margin of -3.5 and a turnover margin of 3.2.
The Georgia State Panthers won their 4th straight game and improved to 11-4 (2-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Texas State Bobcats, 73-69, this past Saturday. Georgia State was outstanding on the offensive end in the 2nd half against the tough Texas State defense and was able to hold off a late Bobcats run late after taking a 61-48 lead with 4:37 left in regulation. Georgia State shot 46.0% from the field while holding Texas State to 37.5% shooting from the field & 24.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Panthers was Malik Benlevi who had 19 points, 7 rebounds, and a steal.
On the season, Georgia State is averaging 76.8 ppg on 46.7% shooting from the field. The Panthers are averaging 9.4 three-pointers per game on 38.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Georgia State has been led by D’Marcus Simonds (18.6 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.3 spg, 1.2 bpg), Malik Benlevi (12.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.7 spg, 1.2 bpg), Devin Mitchell (12.4 ppg, 2.0 apg), and Jeff Thomas (11.0 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.7 apg).
Defensively, Georgia State is allowing their opponents to average 72.9 ppg on 43.0% shooting from the field. The Panthers have a rebound margin of -5.7 and a turnover margin of 3.1.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. Sun Belt opponents however, are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Sun Belt opponents and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Louisiana likes to keep the game at a fast pace and although they have done a nice job putting points up on the board as they rank 31st in scoring offense, the defense has also given up plenty of points as they rank 308th in scoring defense & T-241st in defensive FG%. Georgia State is a bit more of a balanced team as they rank 111th in scoring offense, 95th in FG%, and 220th in scoring defense.
Georgia State has owned this match-up recently as they’ve won their last 5 match-ups agianst the Ragin’ Cajuns and have covered in 4 of those 5 games. Louisiana is a solid team, however, I haven’t been overly impressed by their victories this season and between the fact that Georgia State has yet to lose at home and is coming off an impressive victory against a good Texas State team on the road, I think the Panthers do enough here to cover this spread and will probably put a small amount on the Over as this game has gone Over in 9 of the last 10 matchups.