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Georgia State vs. Texas State - 3/16/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas State at Georgia State
Date & Time Saturday March 16, 2019, 4:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Lakefront Arena
New Orleans, LA
The Line
Georgia State Panthers -1.5 -- Over/Under: 139
TV Channel
ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Texas State at Georgia State
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas State Bobcats and Georgia State Panthers will square off at Lakefront Arena this Saturday afternoon in the Semifinals of the Sun Belt Men’s Championship.

The Texas State Bobcats (24-8; 12-6 Sun Belt) kept their NCAA hopes alive as the Bobcats advanced to the Semifinals of the Sun Belt Men’s Championship after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 79-67, on Friday night. Texas State did an outstanding job of forcing the Jaguars into committing turnovers and was able to hold off the Jaguars after taking a 63-53 lead with 2:52 left in regulation. Texas State outrebounded South Alabama by a 37-23 margin and forced the Jaguars into committing 20 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Bobcats was Tre’Larenz Nottingham who had 19 points, 5 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.

Coming into their game agianst South Alabama, Texas State was averaging 73.0 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Bobcats were averaging 7.4 three-pointers per game on 33.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas State has been led by Nijal Pearson (17.1 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.4 spg), Tre’Larenz Nottingham (13.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.3 spg), Alex Peacock (8.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.0 spg), and Jaylen Shead (7.6 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 4.9 apg).

Defensively, Texas State was holding their opponents to an average of 64.2 ppg on 41.1% shooting from the field. The Bobcats had a rebound margin of 5.8 and a turnover margin of 1.4.

The Georgia State Panthers finished their regular season with an overall record of 22-9 and earned the top-seed in the Sun Belt Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with an overall record of 13-5. Georgia State was able to pick up some solid non-conference wins this season as the Panthers got victories agianst ETSU, Georgia, and Alabama and was able to wrap up the regular season Sun Belt Championship after winning 6 of their last 7 games. Georgia State was led by their offense this season which comes into this game ranked 57th in scoring offense, 51st in FG%, and 10th in 3P-FG%.

On the season, Georgia State is averaging 77.8 ppg on 47.0% shooting from the field. The Panthers are averaging 10.0 three-pointers per game on 39.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Georgia State has been led by D’Marcus Simonds (18.9 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 3.7 apg, 1.3 spg), Devin Mitchell (12.8 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.6 apg), Malik Benlevi (11.9 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.2 spg, 1.1 bpg), Kane Williams (11.4 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.6 apg, 2.0 spg).

Defensively, Georgia State is allowing their opponents to average 74.1 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Panthers have a rebound margin of -6.3 and a turnover margin of 3.5.

Texas State and Georgia State split their regular season series as the Bobcats won on the road by a 81-68 margin in late January, while the Panthers won by a 73-69 margin on the road in early January.

The Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. The Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

The Texas State Bobcats might just be the 4-seed in the Sun Belt Men’s Championship, however, I think the Bobcats are as good as any team in the conference behind a defense that comes into this game ranked 27th in scoring defense, 48th in defensive FG%, and 24th in rebound margin. Georgia State will be looking to make it back to their 2nd consecutive Sun Belt Men’s Championship and although their defense has given up some points as they rank just 246th in scoring defense, the Panthers come into this match-up with one of the best offenses in the Sun Belt. This should be an exciting game, however, I think Texas State is the more balanced team in this one and as I believe their defense will be able to give Georgia State some trouble, I’m taking Texas State and the points in this one. Good Luck!

Pick:
Texas State Bobcats +1.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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