Georgia vs. Florida - 1/19/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Florida at Georgia
Saturday, January 19, 2019 at 12:00 PM (Stegeman Coliseum)
Florida Gators -5 -- Over/Under: 133
The Florida Gators and the Georgia Bulldogs meet in SEC conference college basketball action from the Stegeman Coliseum on Saturday afternoon.
The Florida Gators will be looking to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 71-68 loss to Mississippi State in their last outing. KeVaughn Allen led the Gators with 17 points on 5 of 12 shooting with 3 threes while Andrew Nembhard added 13 points with a team-high 8 assists and Noah Locke added 12 points. Keyontae Johnson added 11 points on 4 of 6 shooting with 3 threes and 3 steals to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for Florida in the win, while Kevarrius Hayes added 5 points with a team-high 8 rebounds, a pair of steals and 3 blocks as well in the winning effort. Allen leads Florida in scoring with 11.7 points per game while Hayes leads the Gators on the glass with 6.1 rebounds per game and Nembhard leads Florida in assists with 5.8 assists per game this season. As a team, Florida is averaging 69.6 points per game on 42.5% shooting from the field, 34.2% from behind the 3-point line and 67.9% from the foul line this season.
The Georgia Bulldogs will also be looking to rebound from back-to-back losses following a 69-49 defeat at the hands of Kentucky in their last outing. Nicolas Claxton fell one rebound shy of a double-double, leading Georgia with 12 points on 5 of 11 shooting with a pair of steals and a pair of blocks along with a team-high 9 rebounds while Rayshaun Hammonds added 11 points as the only other Georgia player to score in double figures in the loss. Jordan Harris added 6 points and 7 rebounds as well in the losing effort. Hammonds leads Georgia in scoring with an average of 13.7 points per game while Claxton leads the Bulldogs with averages of 9.4 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game this season. As a team, Georgia is averaging 75.6 points per game on 45.6% shooting from the field, 31.7% from behind the arc and 72.3% from the foul line this season.
Florida is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record while the under is 10-2 in their last 12 road games. Georgia is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Georgia getting points at home is extremely tempting, however I also think it’s extremely telling about the projected direction that these teams are headed. Georgia has been held to 50 or fewer points in 2 of their 4 conference games, both losses of course. And while those game came against two of the SEC’s best in Tennessee and Kentucky, the fact is that the Georgia Bulldogs have had struggles against above average defensive units. Florida shares the same 1-3 conference mark to start the year, but the Gators have been very good on defense, allowing just 61.4 points per game this season and have held each of their SEC opponents to 69 points or less this season. I just can’t trust Georgia’s offense enough to take points, even at home, so I’ll lay the points with the Gators in this spot.