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Hartford vs. Massachusetts Lowell - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Massachusetts Lowell at Hartford
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 5:00 PM (EST)
Location
Chase Arena
West Hartford, CT
The Line
Hartford Hawks -8 -- Over/Under: 153
TV Channel
ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Massachusetts Lowell at Hartford
Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

The UMass Lowell River Hawks will travel to Chase Arena to take on the Hartford Hawks in the Quarterfinals of the America East Men’s Championship this Saturday night.

The UMass Lowell River Hawks finished their regular season with an overall record of 15-16 and earned the 5-seed in the America East Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with a 7-9 record. UMass Lowell Picked up some solid wins early in conference play, including a 74-63 victory over UMBC, however, the River Hawks struggled down the stretch as they finished their regular season losing 4 of their last 5 games. UMass was led by their offense which ranked 69th in scoring offense & 47th in FG%, however, the River Hawks defense struggled this season as they currently rank just 273rd in scoring defense & 258th in defensive FG%.

On the season, UMass Lowell is averaging 77.0 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field. The River Hawks are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UMass Lowell has been led by Christian Lutete (18.7 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.4 apg), Obadiah Noel (14.4 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.3 spg), Josh Gantz (10.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 3.0 apg), and Alex Rivera (9.3 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.6 apg).

Defensively, UMass Lowell is allowing their opponents to average 75.5 ppg on 45.1% shooting from the field. The River Hawks have a rebound margin of -0.2 and a turnover margin of -0.9.

The Hartford Hawks finished their regular season with an overall record of 17-14 and earned the 4-seed in the America East Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with a 10-6 record. Hartford comes into post season play with some momentum as the Hawks have won 6 of their last 8 games and picked up a solid upset victory at Boston College prior to conference play. Hartford comes into post-season play ranked 121st in scoring offense, 107th in FG%, and 209th in scoring defense.

On the season, Hartford is averaging 74.6 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field. The Hawks are averaging 9.7 three-pointers per game on 38.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Hartford has been led by J.R. Lynch (16.3 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 3.7 apg, 2.2 spg), John Carroll (14.6 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 2.2 apg), George Blagojevic (14.2 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.2 spg), and Jason Dunne (13.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Hartford is allowing their opponents to average 72.5 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Hawks have a rebound margin of -3.2 and a turnover margin of 1.5.

The River Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, however, are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss.

UMass Lowell and Hartford split their regular season series as the UMass Lowell won by a 76-73 on the road in mid-January while Harford won by a 75-73 margin on the road in late February.

Hartford didn’t live up to pre-season expectations as the Hawks were expected to challenge the Vermont Catamounts for regular season American East title, however, it doesn’t mean that the Hawks aren’t a dangerous team as they have some solid experience and can put up points in a hurry as they are a very solid three-point shooting team. UMass Lowell had a nice season and played Hartford tough in both games this season, however, I wasn’t impressed with how the River Hawks looked down the stretch and expect the UMass Lowell to struggle defensively against Hartford in this one. The line has yet to be released, however, as I’m currently expecting Hartford to be favored by about 3-5 points, my initial thoughts is to take Hartford to cover. Please check back when the line is released.

Pick:
Hartford Hawks -8

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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