Northeastern at Hofstra
|Date & Time||Tuesday March 12, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
North Charleston Coliseum
North Charleston, SC
Hofstra Pride - +1.5 -- Over/Under: 148
The Northeastern Huskies & Hofstra Pride will square off at North Charleston Coliseum this Tuesday night in the Finals of the CAA Men’s Championship.
The 2-seed Northeastern Huskies improved to 22-10 (14-4 CAA) on the season and will be looking took make their first appearance to the NCAA Tournament since 2015 after defeating the 3-seed Charleston Cougars, 70-67, on Monday night. In what was a competitive, back and forth game, Charleston had a chance to tie it late as the Cougars Marquise Pointer was fouled attempting a game-tying three-pointer with just :03 seconds left, however, Pointer missed the 2nd FT attempt which allowed Northeastern to hang on for the victory. Northeastern shot 45.5% from the field and outrebounded the Cougars by a 35-24 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Huskies was Shawn Occeus who had 17 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 steals.
Coming into their game against Charleston, Northeastern was averaging 76.0 ppg on 48.3% shooting from the field. The Cougars were averaging 9.6 three-pointers per game on 38.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Northeastern has been led by Vasa Pusica (17.6 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.4 apg, 1.5 spg), Jordan Roland (14.8 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.2 spg), Bolden Brace (10.0 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.0 spg), and Donnell Gresham Jr. (9.8 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.2 spg).
Defensively, Northeastern was allowing their opponents to average 70.6 ppg on 46.0% shooting from the field. The Huskies had a rebound margin of -0.4 and a turnover margin of 0.2.
The top-seeded Hofstra Pride (27-6; 15-3) kept their hopes of returning the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2001 after escaping with a 78-74 OT victory over the 5-seeded Delaware Blue Hens on Monday. Hofstra allowed Delaware to fight back from a 38-25 halftime deficit to force OT, however, Justin Wright-Foreman was just too much for the Blue Hens and Delaware was able to seal the victory after solid FT-shooting by Jalen Ray down the stretch. Hofstra shot 44.6% from the field and 47.1% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Pride was Justin Wright-Foreman who had 42 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals.
Coming into their game against Delaware, Hofstra was averaging 84.0 ppg on 49.2% shooting from the field. The Pride were averaging 9.0 three-pointers per game on 38.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Hofstra has been led by Justin Wright-Foreman (27.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.9 apg), Eli Pemberton (15.4 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.3 apg), Desure Blue (10.7 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 5.3 apg, 2.4 spg), and Jacquil Taylor (8.3 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 1.9 bpg).
Defensively, Hofstra was allowing their opponents to average 72.3 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field. The Pride had a rebound margin of 0.9 and a turnover margin of 3.1.
The Huskies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Pride are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, however, are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Northeastern and Hofstra split their regular season series as the Huskies won by a 75-61 margin at home in early February, while the Pride won by a 75-72 margin at home in early January.
Hofstra has had an incredible season, led by Justin Wright-Foreman, however, they’re up against a Northeastern team that had no trouble slowing down their high-power defense and snapping their 16-game regular season winning streak in their 75-61 victory in early February. Hofstra’s offense against Northeastern’s defense which ranks just 295th in defense FG% is a worry, however, the Pride haven’t looked great in their first two games of the CAA Men’s Championship as they had tougher than expected battles against James Madison & Delaware. Northeastern in their own right has a solid offense that should find success against Hofstra’s 199th ranked scoring defense, and between the fact that the Huskies have Shawn Occeus back contributing and that they are the more balanced team, I’m taking Northeastern to punch their ticket to March Madness and cover this small spread. Good Luck!