Northwestern at Illinois
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Illinois -2 -- Over/Under: 136.5
The Northwestern Wildcats and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Wednesday in the college basketball Big Ten Tournament at the United Center.
The Northwestern Wildcats enter this tournament losing 11 of their last 12 games. The Northwestern Wildcats are averaging 65.8 points on 40.5 percent shooting and allowing 64.8 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Vic Law is averaging 15 points and 6.4 rebounds while Dererk Pardon is averaging 13.9 points and 1.8 assists. Ryan Taylor is the third double-digit scorer and A.J. Turner is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Northwestern Wildcats are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.5 percent from the free throw line. The Northwestern Wildcats are allowing 29.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.6 rebounds per game. The Northwestern Wildcats have lost their last six non-home games.
The Illinois Fighting Illini enter this tournament losing five of their last six games. The Illinois Fighting Illini are averaging 73 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 75.2 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 14.1 points and 3.1 assists while Trent Frazier is averaging 13.6 points and 2.3 rebounds. Giorgi Bezhanishvili is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Jordan is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Illinois Fighting Illini are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 70.2 percent from the free throw line. The Illinois Fighting Illini are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.6 rebounds per game. The Illinois Fighting Illini have lost five of their last seven non-home games.
The Wildcats are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games, 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. Big Ten and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wildcats are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 games following a ATS loss. The under is 9-3 in Wildcats last 12 overall.
The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings between Northwestern and Illinois, including both games this season, and there should be a nice crowd for both teams here with it being somewhat a home game for both sides. As for who wins, Northwestern has been the more competitive team lately, which includes a win over Ohio State, and they're only losing their last five games by an average of 3.4 points. The Illinois Fighting Illini are losing their last five games by an average of 10.6 points and have been horrible defensively during that stretch. Neither of these teams find easy offense, but Northwestern is the experienced, better defensive team, so I'll take a stab with the free bucket.