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Illinois vs. Northwestern - 3/3/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Northwestern at Illinois
Date & Time Sunday March 3, 2019, 6:30 PM (EST)
Location
State Farm Center
Champaign, Illinois
The Line
Illinois Fighting Illini -4.5 O/U: 137.5
TV Channel
BTN
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Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports

The Northwestern Wildcats and the Illinois Fighting Illini will match up on the college basketball court Sunday.

Northwestern enters this one at 12-16 on the year. The Wildcats have lost nine games in a row, including defeats by Nebraska, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Minnesota in their last four outings.

In the loss to the Gophers, Northwestern’s lead scorer was Dererk Pardon, doubling up on 16 points and 13 rebounds. Vic Law was the only other Wildcat in double-figures there with 13 points, seven assists and four rebounds.

Over on the Illinois side, they’re 10-18 this season. Following a solid four-game win streak, the Illini have lost their last three straight games, dropping to Wisconsin, Penn State and Purdue in that span.

In the loss to the Boilermakers, Illinois’ Ayo Dosunmu and Andres Feliz were the top scorers with nine points apiece with four assists and three rebounds combined between them. Aaron Jordan also chipped in seven points and six assists for the Illini there.

The Wildcats are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 versus the Big Ten and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six after an ATS loss. Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 0-4-1 ATS in their last five overall.

Meanwhile, the Illini are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven after an ATS loss. Illinois is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 after a straight-up loss and the under is 4-1 in their last five after an ATS loss.

Northwestern managed a 68-66 victory at home the last time these teams met up, but at that point Illinois was only a 4-11 team. Since then the Illini have performed much better despite being written off for dead earlier in the season by most people (myself included).

Granted, the Illini aren’t great by any stretch, but they’re not a punching bag these days. I’m going to go with Illinois on a dominant home cover here.

Pick:
Illinois Fighting Illini -4.5

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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