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IPFW vs. South Dakota - 3/10/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

South Dakota at IPFW
Date & Time Sunday March 10, 2019, 9:30 PM (EDT)
Denny Sanford Premier Center
Sioux Falls, SD
The Line
IPFW Mastodons -1 -- O/U: 153.5
TV Channel
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The South Dakota Coyotes and the IPFW Mastodons meet in a Summit League tournament quarterfinal matchup from the Denny Sanford Premier Center in college basketball action on Sunday night.

The South Dakota Coyotes enter the tournament as the #6 seed after finishing the regular season with a 13-16 overall record, including 7-9 in Summit League play. The Coyotes had a couple of tough dates on the non-conference portion of their schedule, with losses to Kansas, Colorado and Baylor as well as a road win over Colorado State. The Coyotes struggled with consistency out of the gate in conference play, alternating wins and losses in each of their first 5 games and followed with losses in 6 of 7 before rattling off 4 wins in their last 5 games to finish the season. Stanley Umude leads South Dakota in scoring with 14.2 points per game while Triston Simpson leads the Coyotes in assists with 3.4 assists per game as well as 14 points per game. Trey Burch-Manning is averaging 11.4 points and a team-high 6 rebounds per game while Tyler Peterson is chipping in 11.3 points per game as South Dakota’s 4th double-digit scorer on the year. As a team, South Dakota is averaging 70.6 points per game on 44.2% shooting from the field, 34.7% from behind the arc and 74% from the foul line this season.

The IPFW Mastodons come into the conference tournament as the #3 seed after finishing the regular season with a 17-14 overall record, including 9-7 in conference play to finish in a tie for the 3rd spot, winning out over North Dakota State based on a tiebreaker. IPFW had some quality opposition out of the gate, with losses to UCLA, Ohio State and Dayton all within the first 5 games of the season. Streaky play was the theme of conference play for IPFW this season, starting the conference part of the schedule with 4 straight wins, followed by 3 straight losses, followed by 5 straight wins before finishing the year on a 4 game losing streak. John Konchar led the Mastodons with 19.7 points, 8.5 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game while Kason Harrell is 2nd in scoring with 15.1 points per game and Matt Holba is 3rd with 11.8 points per game this season. As a team, IPFW is averaging 83 points per game on 48% shooting from the field, 37.7% from behind the 3-point line and 70% from the foul line this season.

South Dakota is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 neutral site games. IPFW is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 37-16 in their last 53 games overall. South Dakota is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

IPFW has been a streaky team like I said, so it wouldn’t surprise me if the Mastodons flipped a switch in the conference tournament and made a run for the Summit League title. However, this line being so low makes me think that perhaps there’s something to the way that South Dakota finished the season. The Coyotes’ 4 wins didn’t come against a murderers’ row of opposition, but the loss sandwiched in the middle was a narrow 5-point loss to top-seeded South Dakota State. Anything can happen in the conference tournament and with how much success the Coyotes have had lately combined with the success South Dakota has had in this matchup, I’ll take a shot with South Dakota and the free point in what I see being an upset I the quarterfinals.

South Dakota +1

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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