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Kansas State vs. UMBC - NCAA Second Round - 3/18/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
UMBC Retrievers (23-10) at Kansas State Wildcats (23-11)
Date & Time Sunday March 18, 2018, 7:45 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Kansas State Wildcats -9.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
TruTV
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NCAA BB | UMBC Retrievers (23-10) at Kansas State Wildcats (23-11)
USA TODAY Sports

We have some South region NCAA tournament action on Sunday as the #16 seed UMBC Retrievers take on the #9 Kansas State Wildcats in a college basketball matchup.

The #16 UMBC Retrievers will look to continue what’s already been a memorable tournament after a 74-54 opening round win over #1 overall seed Virginia, making the Retrievers the first #16 seed to ever upset a #1 seed in tournament history. Jairus Lyles led the Retrievers with 28 points on 9 of 11 shooting with 3 triples while Joe Sherburne added 14 points and Arkel Lamar chipped in 12 points with 10 rebounds for the double-double. K.J. Maura added 10 points to round out the scoring in double figures for UMBC in the win. Lyles leads UMBC with an average of 20.2 points per game while Lamar leads the Retrievers in rebounding with 5.8 rebounds per game and Maura leads UMBC in assists with 5.2 assists per game this season. As a team, UMBC is scoring 73.9 points per game on 44.5% shooting from the field, 38.7% from behind the arc and 64.9% from the foul line this season.

The Kansas State Wildcats will look to continue their push after taking down Creighton in their opening round matchup by a final score of 69-59 in their last outing. Barry Brown led K-State with 18 points, 6 rebounds, a pair of blocks and a pair of steals while Mike McGuirl came right behind in 2nd with 17 points on 6 of 10 shooting with 3 threes and Kamau Stokes added 11 points to round out the trio of double digit scorers for the Wildcats in the win. Dean Wade missed the game with a foot injury and is questionable for this game, but still leads Kansas State with an average of 16.5 points and 6.3 rebounds per game while Brown leads Kansas State in assists with 3.4 assists per game this season. As a team, Kansas State is scoring 72.3 points per game on 47.2% shooting from the field, 34.8% from behind the arc and 73.5% from the foul line this season.

UMBC is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 neutral site games. Kansas State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games while the under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games overall.

It will be interesting to see if UMBC can keep this going, and Kansas State looked pretty good against Creighton, holding a very good Bluejays offense under 60 points in the win. I was initially leaning towards the Retrievers to keep their momentum going for at least one more game, and since we are getting almost double digits with a UMBC team that has nothing to lose and are riding a massive high right now, I think it's a prime time to take a shot with the points and the Retrievers here.

Pick:
UMBC +9.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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