Texas at Kansas
|Date & Time||Thursday March 14, 2019, 9:30 PM (EDT)|
St. Louis, MO
Kansas Jayhawks -2.5 -- O/U: 137.5
The Texas Longhorns and the Kansas Jayhawks meet in a Big 12 tournament quarterfinal matchup from the Sprint Center on Thursday night.
The Texas Longhorns come into the tournament as the #6 seed after finishing the regular season with a record of 16-15, including an 8-10 mark in Big 12 conference play. Texas gave themselves some tough opposition out of the gate, with a win over Arkansas as well as impressive wins over North Carolina and Purdue while also losing to VCU, Michigan State and Providence in the non-conference portion of their schedule. Texas started conference play well with wins over Kansas State and West Virginia before dropping 3 in a row and 5 of their next 6 games. The Longhorns never really regained their footing after that, splitting their next 10 games before dropping their regular season finale to TCU. Kerwin Roach II leads Texas in scoring with 14.4 points per game while Jaxon Hayes came 2nd with 10.3 points per game and Matt Coleman III and Dylan Osetkowski tied for 3rd with 10.2 points per game. Coleman III averaged a team-high 3.6 assists per game while Osetkowski led Texas in rebounding with 7.4 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Texas is averaging 71.2 points per game on 43.6% shooting from the field, 34.1% from behind the arc and 71.3% from the foul line this season.
The Kansas Jayhawks come into the conference tournament as the #3 seed after finishing the regular season with a record of 23-8, including a 12-6 mark in Big 12 conference play. Kansas racked up some solid wins in the non-conference portion of their schedule with victories over Michigan State, Marquette, Tennessee, Stanford and Villanova with their lone loss coming at the hands of Arizona State on the road. Kansas started conference play 4-1 and 5-2 before having some consistency issues down the stretch, but that still didn’t stop Kansas from picking up victories in 7 of their last 11 games to finish above .500 and in the 3rd position in the Big 12 tournament. Dedric Lawson led Kansas in scoring and rebounding with 19.1 points and 10.6 rebounds per game this season while Devon Dotson added 11.7 points and a team-high 3.6 assists per game this season. As a team, Kansas is averaging 75.6 points per game on 46.4% shooting from the field, 35.5% from behind the arc and 69.5% from the foul line this season.
Texas is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 neutral site games while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss. Kansas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win while the over is 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.
Kansas’ road struggles have been well documented, but on a neutral floor, the Jayhawks have actually performed pretty well, going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Texas will no doubt get a lift if Roach II returns to the lineup for this game, but I’m still concerned that Texas relies too heavily on their defense to try to win basketball games. I just think that Kansas is a team that’s built for these kinds of high-pressure tournament games, so with that said, I’ll lay the bucket with the Jayhawks in this one.