LMU vs. Brown - 3/25/19 CBI College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Brown at LMU
Monday, March 25, 2019 at 9:00 PM (Albert Gersten Pavilion)
Loyola Marymount Lions -4.5 -- O/U:
The Brown Bears and the Loyola Marymount Lions meet in a CBI tournament quarterfinal matchup from the Albert Gersten Pavilion on Monday night.
The Brown Bears come into this one fresh off of their first round victory over the UAB Blazers by a final score of 83-78. Obi Okolie led the Bears with 26 points on 8 of 16 shooting with 7 threes while Joshua Howard added 15 points and Zach Hunsaker chipped in 12 points. Chris Sullivan added 11 points and Tamenang Choh contributed 10 points with team-highs of 11 rebounds and 8 assists for the double-double to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Brown in the win. Desmond Cambridge missed the game due to personal reasons and it’s unclear if he will play in this game which would be a huge loss as he is Brown’s leading scorer with 15.7 points per game while Choh leads the Bears in rebounding and assists with 8.8 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game this season. As a team, Brown is averaging 73.9 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field, 34.2% from behind the arc and 71.2% from the foul line this season.
The Loyola Marymount Lions punched their ticket to the quarterfinals after battling to earn a 56-55 first round victory over California Baptist in their last outing. Mattias Markusson led the Lions with 13 points along with 6 rebounds while Eli Scott and Dameane Douglas each had 10 points to finish off the trio of double-digit scorers for Loyola Marymount in the win, with Scott adding a team-high 9 rebounds along with 3 assists while Douglas had 6 rebounds. James Batemon had 6 points and a team-high 4 assists but still leads the Lions in scoring and assists with averages of 16.5 points and 3.5 assists per game while Markusson leads the Lions in rebounding with 6.3 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Loyola Marymount is averaging 67.2 points per game on 45.4% shooting from the field, 31.5% from behind the arc and 74.6% from the foul line this season.
Brown is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win while the under is 20-7 in their last 27 road games. Loyola Marymount is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.
Loyola Marymount being favored here makes sense due to the unknown status of Desmond Cambridge for Brown and the fact that LMU is at home. However, the Lions were far from convincing ATS at home this season, going just 5-8 ATS and only outscoring teams by 3.5 points per game on their home floor. Loyola Marymount barely scraped by California Baptist and Brown has already shown that they have scoring depth to win games without Cambridge like they did against UAB, and I think Brown can do it again here, but I’ll take the points just to be safe.