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Louisville vs. Minnesota - 3/21/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota at Louisville
Date & Time Thursday March 21, 2019, 12:15 PM (EDT)
Wells Fargo Arena
Des Moines, Iowa
The Line
Louisville Cardinals -5
TV Channel
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Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Louisville Cardinals will match up on the college basketball court in the first round of the NCAA Tournament Thursday.

Louisville finished out the season at 20-13 overall. The Cardinals have been in something of a skid after their tough late-season schedule, losing eight of their final 12 games and dropping 83-70 to North Carolina in their last appearance.

In that conference tournament loss to NC, Louisville’s top scorer was Dwayne Sutton with 14 points, six rebounds and four assists. Malik Williams added a double-double for the Cards in that one with 10 points and 13 rebounds.

Over on the Minnesota side, they’re 21-13 in total this year. The Gophers pounded out a couple of wins in the Big Ten Tournament over Penn State and Purdue but fell to Michigan on Saturday.

In the loss to the Wolverines, Minnesota’s Amir Coffey led the way on 14 points with four rebounds and three assists. The only other Gopher in double-figures in that one was Jordan Murphy with 10 points and six rebounds.

The Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last five after a straight-up loss and 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in their last four non-conference games and the under is 6-1 in the last seven after an ATS loss.

Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 versus the Big Ten and 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 after an ATS loss. Louisville is 0-3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral-site games.

Louisville had the misfortune of facing some tough opponents in the tail end of their season, but they really didn’t get blown out in any game and held their own against the top-tier opponents for the most part.

As for Minnesota, they really couldn’t do much against Michigan, but otherwise they’ve performed pretty well lately. Still, the Gophers have some trouble against the more stout defenses out there, and I think the Cards can bang one through here.

Louisville Cardinals -5

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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