Notre Dame at Louisville
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
Louisville Cardinals -7.5 -- Over/Under: 134.5
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Louisville Cardinals will square off at the Spectrum Center this Wednesday night in the 2nd round of the ACC Men’s Tournament.
The 15-seed Norte Dame Fighting Irish (14-18; 3-15 ACC) kept their season alive after defeating the 10-seed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 78-71, on Tuesday afternoon. The Irish came into the ACC Men’s Tournament on a 7-game losing streak, however, Norte Dame stormed out of the gates against the Yellow Jackets and held on late after taking a 52-32 halftime lead. Notre Dame shot 47.4% from the field and 57.1% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Fighting Irish was John Mooney who had a double-double with 20 points, 10 rebounds, and 3 assists.
Coming into their game against Georgia Tech, Notre Dame was averaging 68.9 ppg on 39.5% shooting from the field. The Fighting Irish were averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 31.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Notre Dame has been led by John Mooney (14.1 ppg, 11.2 rpg, 1.3 apg), TJ Gibbs (13.4 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.2 spg), Prentiss Hubb (8.2 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 4.0 apg), and Rex Pflueger (8.1 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.7 spg).
Defensively, Notre Dame was holding their opponents to an average of 68.7 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Fighting Irish had a rebound margin of -2.5 and a turnover margin of 1.7.
The Louisville Cardinals finished their regular season with an overall record of 19-12 and earned the 7-seed in the ACC Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with an 10-8 record. Led by their outstanding defense, Louisville picked up signature wins against Michigan State, North Carolina, & Virginia Tech, however, the Cardinals also let a lot of games get away from them, highlighted when they allowed Duke to overcome a 23-point 2nd half deficit in a 71-69 loss. Louisville struggled down the stretch, losing 6 of their last 8 games, however, this is still a very talented team that comes into this game ranked 119th in scoring offense, 79th in scoring defense, & 37th in defensive FG%.
On the season, Louisville is averaging 74.7 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Cardinals are averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 34.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Louisville has been led by Jordan Nwora (17.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.0 spg), Dwayne Sutton (10.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.0 spg), Christen Cunningham (10.1 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 4.9 apg), and Steven Enoch (9.2 ppg, 5.2 rpg).
Defensively, Louisville is holding their opponents to an average of 67.8 ppg on 40.8% shooting from the field. The Cardinals have a rebound margin of 3.8 and a turnover margin of -0.9.
The Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win. The Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss, however, are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.
Louisville was able to defeat Notre Dame in their only match-up of the season as the Cardinals won by a 75-61 margin at home on March 3rd.
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Notre Dame was incredible on the offensive end in the 1st half against Georgia Tech, however, the Fighting Irish team we’ve seen for most of the season, showed up in the 2nd half and had trouble holding on for the victory. Louisville might have struggled down the stretch, however, the Cardinals clearly established themselves as a tough team and honestly in my opinion, is a sleeper to make a deep run in the ACC Tournament. Even with their victory today, Notre Dame has picked up just 3 wins away from home this season and as I expect the Fighting Irish offense to struggle against the Louisville defense, I think the Cardinals win this one by about 10 and cover this spread. Good Luck!