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Louisville vs. Virginia - 2/23/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Virginia at Louisville
Date & Time Saturday February 23, 2019, 12:00 PM (EST)
Location
KFC YUM! Center
Louisville, KY
The Line
Louisville Cardinals +5.5 -- Over/Under: 123
TV Channel
ESPN - ACC Network; ESPN College Extra; RAYCOM Sports
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Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

The 3rd ranked Virginia Cavaliers will travel to the KFC Yum! Center to take on the 18th ranked Louisville Cardinals this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The 3rd ranked Virginia Cavaliers won their 3rd straight game and improved to 23-2 (11-2) on the season after defeating the 20th ranked Virginia Tech Hokies, 32-29, this past Monday. Virginia was outstanding defensively against one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country and pulled away in the 2nd half after taking a 56-43 lead with 5:57 left in regulation. Virginia shot 46.0% from the field while holding Virginia Tech to just 39.7% shooting from the field and 10.7% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was Kyle Guy who had 23 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assist, and 2 steals.

On the season, Virginia is averaging 71.8 ppg on 47.4% shooting from the field. The Cavaliers are averaging 8.2 three-pointers per game on 40.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Virginia has been led by Kyle Guy (15.4 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 2.2 apg), De’Andre Hunter (14.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.1 apg), Ty Jerome (13.1 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 5.1 apg, 1.5 spg), and Braxton Key (6.6 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.1 spg).

Defensively, Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 54.6 ppg on 37.7% shooting from the field. The Cavaliers have a rebound margin of 5.7 and a turnover margin of 1.9.

The 18th ranked Louisville Cardinals lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 18-9 (9-5 ACC) on the season after being defeated by the Syracuse Orange, 69-49, this past Wednesday. Louisville had no answers on the offensive end against the Syracuse zone defense and couldn’t fight back after the Orange took a 47-28 lead with 12:08 left in regulation. Louisville shot just 25.9% from the field and 21.4% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Cardinals was Jordan Nwora who had 11 points and 6 rebounds.

On the season, Louisville is averaging 76.3 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Cardinals are averaging 8.8 three-pointers per game on 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Louisville has been led by Jordan Nwora (17.3 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg), Dwayne Sutton (10.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.0 spg), Christen Cunningham (10.3 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 4.9 apg), and Steven Enoch (9.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg).

Defensively, Louisville is holding their opponents to an average of 68.1 ppg on 40.9% shooting from the field. The Cardinals have a rebound margin of 3.2 and a turnover margin of -0.4.

The Cavaliers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win and 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games. The Cardinals are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.

Virginia has been perfect against anyone not named Duke this season and once again have been led by their defense that ranks 1st in scoring defense, 4th in defensive FG%, and 28th in rebound margin.

Louisville has lost 4 of their last 6 games and currently rank 89th in scoring offense, 93rd in scoring defense, and 45th in defensive FG%.

Virginia is one of the best teams in the country, however, the Cavaliers have made some uncharacteristic mistakes over their last few games and even had trouble taking care of business at home agianst Notre Dame. Louisville has struggled an offensively as of late, however, the Cardinals are still a solid club and can be especially tough at home on the defensive end. Louisville is an impressive 13-3 at home this season and as I think the Cardinals defense will be able to keep this a close game, I think the play in this one is took take Louisville and the points. Good Luck!

Pick:
Louisville Cardinals +5.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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