LSU vs. Vanderbilt - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Vanderbilt at LSU
Saturday, March 9, 2019 at 8:30 PM (Pete Maravich Assembly Center)
LSU Tigers -15 -- O/U: 142
TV: SEC Network
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the LSU Tigers meet in SEC college basketball action from the Pete Maravich Assembly Center on Saturday night.
The Vanderbilt Commodores will look to salvage a win in their last regular season game after losing 18 games in a row following an 84-48 loss to Arkansas in their last outing. Aaron Nesmith led the ‘Dores with 11 points on 4 of 13 shooting with 6 rebounds as the lone double-digit scorer for Vandy in the losing effort. Yanni Wetzell added 7 points with a team-high 11 rebounds while Saben Lee had 4 points with a team-high 4 assists. Lee leads Vanderbilt with an average of 12.4 points and 4 assists per game while Simisola Shittu leads the Commodores on the glass with 6.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 69 points per game on 42.2% shooting from the field, 31.4% from behind the arc and 31.4% from the foul line this season.
The LSU Tigers will look to finish strong after winning 4 straight and 8 of their last 9 games following a 79-78 overtime win over Florida last time out. Tremont Waters led the Tigers with 19 points on 8 of 16 shooting with a team-high 6 assists and 3 steals while Ja’vonte Smart added 15 points with 3 threes. Emmitt Williams added 13 points with 14 rebounds for the double-double while Skylar Mays had 11 points to round out the group of double-digit scorers for LSU in the win. Waters leads LSU with an average of 15.4 points and 5.8 assists per game while Naz Reid leads the Tigers in rebounding with 6.9 rebounds per game this season. As a team, LSU is averaging 81.7 points per game on 46% shooting from the field, 31.7% from behind the arc and 75.8% from the foul line this season.
Vanderbilt is 19-42 ATS in their last 61 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games while the under is 9-0 in their last 9 games following a loss. LSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 conference games while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 home games. Vanderbilt is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams but are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings at LSU.
My initial thought was to lay points with LSU given how I backed Vanderbilt in their last outing only for the Commodores to get pumped by 36 against an average Arkansas team. However, news came out that LSU head coach Will Wade has been suspended indefinitely and will not coach Saturday's game. Even with it being Seniors' day for the Tigers with the SEC title hanging in the balance, I can't lay the points with LSU given that there's a coaching change and what has to be a major distraction to the team at the worst possible time. I'll take a shot with Vanderbilt and the points in this one strictly based on circumstances.