Massachusetts vs. George Mason - 1/16/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
George Mason at Massachusetts
Wednesday, January 16, 2019 at 7:00 PM (William D. Mullins Memorial Center)
UMass Minutemen: 0 -- Over/Under: 148
TV: NESN Plus; ESPN+
The George Mason Patriots will travel to the William D. Mullins Memorial Center to take on the UMass Minutemen this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.
The George Mason Patriots improved to 9-8 (3-1 A-10) on the season after defeating the Rhode Island Rams, 84-67, this past Sunday. George Mason was outstanding on the offensive end in a tough road environment and had little trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 38-27 lead. George Mason shot 51.7% from the field & 41.2% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Patriots was Justin Kier who had a double-double with 19 points, 10 rebounds, and 1 assist.
On the season, George Mason is averaging 72.6 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field. The Patriots are averaging 6.6 three-pointers per game on 33.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, George Mason has been led by Justin Kier (15.0 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.9 spg), Otis Livingston II (13.3 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 4.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Jaire Grayer (10.0 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Javon Greene (9.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.2 spg).
Defensively, George Mason is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Patriots have a rebound margin of 1.4 and a turnover margin of -0.3.
The UMass Minutemen lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 7-9 (0-3 A-10) on the season after being defeated by the Dayton Flyers, 72-67, this past Sunday. UMass gave Dayton all they could handle on their home court however, the offense scored just 2 points over the final 3:07 of regulation and couldn’t fight back after Dayton took a 71-67 lead with just :13 seconds remaining. UMass allowed Dayton to shoot 47.1% from the field & 57.9% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Minutemen was Luwane Pipkins who had 19 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and a steal.
On the season, UMass is averaging 76.2 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Minutemen are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 36.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UMass has been led by Luwane Pipkins (19.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 5.5 apg, 1.4 spg), Jonathan Laurent (11.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.9 apg), Carl Pierre (10.6 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Curtis Cobb (9.1 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.1 spg).
Defensively, UMass is allowing their opponents to average 74.5 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Minutemen have a rebound margin of 1.6 and a turnover margin of -0.9.
The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Minutemen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
George Mason has won 5 of their last 7 games and has been solid on both ends of the court this season as they currently rank 138th in FG%, 80th in FT%, and T-105th in scoring defense. UMass has lost 5 of their last 6 games and although they are a decent offensive team as they rank T-121st in scoring offense and 87th in FG%, the Minutemen have struggled defensively as they rank just 250th in scoring defense.
I’m a big fan of this George Mason team as they certainly are a dark horse to win the A-10 this season, however, I think it’s important that we don’t write off UMass off in this one, despite their 0-3 conference record. UMass easily covered in their last two games against solid teams in St. Louis & Dayton and have generally played the Patriots tough as although they’ve lost the last 5 games in this matchup, the average loss was by just 4.4 points. UMass has one of the better scorers in the A-10 in Luwane Pipkins and as I think this is a better UMass team than people realize, I think the play is to take UMass to win this pick-em.