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Memphis vs. Tulane - 3/14/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Tulane at Memphis
Date & Time Thursday March 14, 2019, 3:30 PM (EDT)
Location
FedEx Forum
Memphis, TN
The Line
Memphis Tigers -16.5 -- Over/Under: 154
TV Channel
ESPN U
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NCAA BB | Tulane at Memphis
Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

The Tulane Green Wave and Memphis Tigers will face at FedEx Forum this Thursday afternoon in the 1st round of the AAC Men’s Championship.

The Tulane Green Wave had one of their worst seasons on record as Tulane finished the regular season with just a 4-26 overall record and earned the 12-seed in the AAC Men’s Championship after finishing conference play without a victory (0-18). Tulane was decent in non-conference play as they picked up solid wins against South Dakota State & Texas Southern, however, the Green Wave struggled on both ends of the court in conference play and wasn’t able to do enough in their few close battles to pull out a victory. Coming into this match-up, Tulane ranks just 302nd in scoring offense, T-319th in FG%, and 309th in defensive FG%.

On the season, Tulane is averaging 67.1 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Green Wave are averaging 6.9 three-pointers per game on 32.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Tulane has been led by Caleb Daniels (16.8 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 3.3 apg), Samir Sehic (12.6 ppg, 7.7 rpg), Jordan Cornish (9.5 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.1 apg), and Connor Crabtree (7.1 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.2 apg).

Defensively, Tulane is allowing their opponents to average 77.3 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Green Wave have a rebound margin of -1.9 and a turnover margin of -4.6.

The Memphis Tigers had a successful first season on Penny Hardaway as the Tigers finished their regular season with an overall record of 19-12 while earning the 5-seed in the AAC Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with an 11-7 record. Memphis got off to a bit of rocky start to season as they opened up their first 10 games with just a 5-5 record, however, the Tigers have an impressive victory in AAC play in a 77-57 victory over UCF, and also come into post season play with some solid momentum as they’ve won 6 of their last 8 games.

On the season, Memphis is averaging 81.3 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Tigers are averaging 7.4 three-pointers per game on 32.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Memphis has been led by Jeremiah Martin (19.7 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 4.5 apg, 2.2 spg), Kyvon Davenport (13.2 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.0 apg), Tyler Harris (11.1 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 2.1 apg), and Kareem Brewton Jr. (8.7 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.3 spg).

Defensively, Memphis is allowing their opponents to average 76.0 ppg on 42.6% shooting from the field. The Tigers have a rebound margin of 2.2 and a turnover margin of 1.1.

Memphis defeated Tulane in both of their regular season match-ups as the Tigers won by a 83-79 margin on the road in mid-January, while defeating the Green Wave by a 102-76 margin at home in late February.

The Green Wave are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. 

Tulane played some competitive games at home down the stretch, including near victories against USF & Wichita State, however, the Green Wave haven’t shown at all this season that they can be competitive on the road as they posted a 0-10 away record and just a 1-4 record on neutral courts. Memphis might have finished as just the 5-seed, but this is team that looks great and I’m sure a squad that not of the top teams in the AAC want to face. This is a huge number, but the Memphis offense should have no problem putting up 85-90 points in this one as this is basically a home game as their playing in Memphis, I think the Tigers do enough to cover this large spread. Good Luck!

Pick:
Memphis Tigers -16.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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