Michigan State vs. Ohio State - 3/15/19 Big Ten Tournament Quarterfinal College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Ohio State at Michigan State
Friday, March 15, 2019 at 11:30 AM (United Center)
Michigan State Spartans -11 -- O/U: 137
The Ohio State Buckeyes and the Michigan State Spartans meet in a Big Ten tournament quarterfinal matchup in college basketball action from the United Center on Friday afternoon.
The #8-seed Ohio State Buckeyes come into the quarterfinals after picking up a hard-fought 79-75 win over Indiana in their last outing on Thursday. Keyshawn Woods led the Buckeyes with 18 points on 9 of 13 shooting with 7 rebounds and 4 assists while Kaleb Wesson and C.J. Jackson each had 17 points with Wesson adding a team-high 13 rebounds as well as a pair of steals and three blocks while Jackson had a team-high 5 assists and 3 steals as well. Andre Wesson chipped in 13 points with 3 steals to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Ohio State in the winning effort. Heading into Thursday, Wesson led Ohio State in scoring and rebounding with 14.6 points and 6.7 rebounds per game while Jackson led the Buckeyes in assists with 3.4 assists per game this season. As a team, Ohio State is averaging 69.3 points per game on 43.6% shooting from the field, 33.8% from behind the arc and 72.6% from the foul line this season.
The Michigan State Spartans come into the conference tournament as the top seed, finishing the regular season with a 25-6 overall record, including a 16-4 mark in Big Ten play this season, finishing tied for 1st with Purdue but beating out the Boilermakers for the top spot thanks to a tiebreaker. Michigan State picked up some quality wins as well as some tough losses in the non-conference portion of their schedule, with wins over UCLA, Texas, and Florida as well as losses to Louisville and Kansas. Michigan State started conference play with 9 straight wins before hitting a rough patch with 3 straight losses. Sparty responded by winning 7 of their final 8 games down the stretch to lock up the top spot in the conference tournament. Cassius Winston led the Spartans in scoring and assists with 19 points and 7.6 assists per game while Nick Ward came 2nd with 15.1 points per game and Kenny Goins led Michigan State in rebounding with 9.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Michigan State is averaging 79.7 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the field, 38.1% from behind the 3-point line and 74.5% from the foul line this season.
Ohio State is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 conference games and 8-23 ATS in their last 31 neutral site games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Michigan State is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall and 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 11-5 in their last 16 conference games. Ohio State is 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.
You could argue that the points are worth a look considering that Ohio State already has a game under their belts and there could be some rust for Michigan State after such a long layoff. However, back-to-backs aren’t common in college basketball and even though the Buckeyes picked up a solid win, it still took a lot out of the Buckeyes, and facing the top-seeded team in the conference may not help matters. The Spartans held Ohio State to just 44 points in the last meetings and that was with regular rest. I think that the Spartans are simply the better team here and will show it with a win and cover in this one.