Michigan vs. Northwestern - 1/13/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Northwestern at Michigan
Sunday, January 13, 2019 at 7:30 PM (Crisler Center)
Michigan Wolverines -12.5 -- Over/Under: 122.5
The Northwestern Wildcats and the Michigan Wolverines meet in Big Ten conference college basketball action from the Crisler Center on Sunday night.
The Northwestern Wildcats will look to rebound after suffering a 73-63 loss to Iowa last time out. Vic Law and Anthony Gaines tied for the team-high with 13 points with Law adding 10 rebounds and 3 steals for the double-double while Gaines had a perfect shooting night, going 3 of 3 from the field and 7 of 7 from the foul line along with 6 rebounds. Ryan Taylor added 11 points on 4 of 11 shooting with 3 threes and 3 blocks while A.J. Turner added 10 points with a pair of threes, 5 rebounds and a team-high 6 assists to finish off the group of double-digit scorers for Northwestern in the loss. Law leads Northwestern in scoring with 17.3 points per game while Turner leads the Wildcats in assists with 3.4 assists per game and Dererk Pardon leads Northwestern in rebounding with 8.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Northwestern is averaging 71.4 points per game on 42.9% shooting from the field, 33.3% from behind the arc and 72.8% from the foul line this season.
The Michigan Wolverines will look to remain unbeaten after climbing to 16-0 with a 79-69 win over Illinois in their last outing. Zavier Simpson led Michigan with 16 points on 6 of 13 shooting with a pair of threes and a team-high 8 assists while Ignas Bradzeikis came right behind with 15 points and 8 rebounds and Charles Matthews added 14 points. Jon Teske added 13 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists and 4 blocks for a stat-stuffing double-double while Jordan Poole added 10 points to round out the scoring in double figures for Michigan in the win. Bradzeikis leads Michigan in scoring with 15.9 points per game while Teske leads the Wolverines in rebounding with 6.4 rebounds per game and Simpson leads Michigan in assists with 6.1 assists per game this season. As a team, Michigan is averaging 73.2 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field, 36.4% from behind the arc and 67.1% from the foul line this season. The Wolverines are also tough on defense, giving up the 3rd-fewest points per games in the country, allowing just 56.4 points per game this season.
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 conference games. Michigan is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning record and 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 conference games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
The Wolverines are definitely staking their claim to be one of the best in the country this season, as Michigan just keeps rolling to victory after victory. However, the Wolverines have a tendency to let their foot off the gas once in a while as we saw in the Wolverines scraping out a cover against Illinois in their last outing. Northwestern has already taken Michigan to the wire this season in a 62-60 Michigan win in early December and the Wildcats have a history of keeping things tight against Michigan with 7 of the last 8 meetings being decided by 9 points or less. I think Michigan gets the win here but not before Northwestern makes them grind it out, so I’ll take the points with the Wildcats here.