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Minnesota vs. Arkansas State - 12/8/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-5) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-2)
Date & Time Saturday December 8, 2018, 4:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers -19.5 -- Over/Under: 154.5
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NCAA BB | Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-5) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-2)
Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Minnesota Golden Gophers meet in college basketball action from Williams Arena on Saturday afternoon.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will look for their first road win of the year after picking up an 87-77 win at home over Evansville in their last outing. Ty Cockfield led the Red Wolves with 24 points with 3 threes and 3 assists while Tristin Walley added 13 points and 6 rebounds as the only other Arkansas State player to finish in double figures scoring in the winning effort. Christian Willis added 7 points and 4 assists while Malik Brevard added 6 points and a team-high 8 rebounds. Cockfield leads Arkansas State with an average of 21.5 points and 2.9 assists while Grantham Gillard leads the Red Wolves in rebounding with 6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Arkansas State is averaging 77.2 points per game on 43.5% shooting from the field, 35.6% from behind the arc and 71.9% from the foul line this season.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last 5 games, including an 85-78 win over Nebraska in their last outing. Amir Coffey led the Gophers with 32 points on 8 of 16 shooting with a pair of threes and a 14 of 17 mark from the foul line to go along with 6 rebounds and a team-high 6 assists. Jordan Murphy added 18 points and 13 rebounds for the double-double while Gabe Kalscheur added 12 points and Daniel Oturu added 10 points with 9 rebounds and 3 blocks to finidh off the scoring in double figures for the Golden Gophers in the win. Coffey leads Minnesota with an average of 16.2 points and 3 assists per game while Murphy leads the Golden Gophers on the glass by averaging a double-double per game with 15 points to go along with his team-high average of 12.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Minnesota is averaging 75.8 points per game on 44.6% shooting from the field, 33.5% from behind the 3-point line and 67.1% from the foul line this season.

Arkansas State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Big Ten. Minnesota is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games while the under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games following a win.

This is a lot of points for me to lay with Minnesota considering that I’m still not sure what to make of the Golden Gophers so far. However, Arkansas State has lost 2 of their 3 road games by 20+ points, to Grand Canyon and Abilene Christian, both of who aren’t even close to the level of Minnesota. 3 of Minnesota’s 4 wins at home have come by single digits, but those were games against Utah, Oklahoma State and Nebraska, with their other game being a 28-point win over Omaha. I think the Gophers are talented enough to take advantage of the talent gap between the two sides, so I’ll lay the points with Minnesota here.

Pick:
Minnesota -19.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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