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Minnesota vs. Michigan State - 3/23/19 NCAA March Madness Second Round Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Minnesota at Michigan State
Date & Time Saturday March 23, 2019, 7:45 PM (EDT)
Location
Wells-Fargo Arena
Des Moines, IA
The Line
Michigan State Spartans -10 -- O/U: 142
TV Channel
CBS
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Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Michigan State Spartans meet in an NCAA tournament second round matchup in college basketball action on Saturday.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers punched their ticket to the second round after picking up an 86-76 opening round win over Louisville in their last outing. Gabe Kalscheur led the Golden Gophers with 24 points on 8 of 14 shooting with 5 threes and a team-high 8 rebounds while Amir Coffey and Jordan Murphy each had 18 points and 6 rebounds, with Murphy shooting 7 of 10 with a pair of threes while Coffey went 6 of 14 with 3 triples. Daniel Oturu and Dupree McBrayer each had 13 points with McBrayer adding a team-high 4 assists to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota in the win. Coffey leads Minnesota in scoring and assists with 16.3 points and 3.2 assists per game while Murphy leads the Golden Gophers in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game with 14.9 points as well as a team-high 11.3 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Minnesota is averaging 71.2 points per game on 43.9% shooting from the field, 32.5% from behind the arc and 67.9% from the foul line this season.

The Michigan State Spartans come into the second round after picking up a 76-65 win over Bradley in the first round. Cassius Winston had 26 points to lead Sparty, shooting 8 of 17 from the floor with a perfect 8 of 8 mark from the foul line and a team-high 4 assists. Xavier Tillman came 2nd with 16 points along with 11 rebounds and a pair of blocks for the double-double while Matt McQuaid added 10 points to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Michigan State in the winning effort. Winston leads the Spartans in scoring and assists with 19.1 points and 7.5 assists per game while Kenny Goins leads Michigan State in rebounding with 8.9 rebounds per game. As a team, Michigan State is averaging 78.7 points per game on 48.4% shooting from the field, 38.1% from behind the arc and 75.8% from the foul line this season. The Spartans are one of the nation’s better defensive teams as well, allowing opponents to shoot just 37.9% from the floor this season, the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage against in D-I this season.

Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NCAA tournament games while the under is 21-7 in their last 28 games against a team with a winning record. Michigan State is 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 25-10-1 in their last 36 games following a win. Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

It’s only recently that teams from the same conference could meet this early in the tournament, but with so many teams from so many conferences, the format had to be changed to where this could happen from time-to-time. With that said, since 2017, Michigan State’s last 3 wins against Minnesota have each come by double-digits, by an average of 24 points per game. I’d like to think that Minnesota may be rejuvenated after their win over Louisville and the Gophers certainly have the depth to compete, but when there’s a history between two teams, and one team has dominated a lot of the recent history, sometimes a team just has your number, so I’ll lay the points with Michigan State here.

Pick:
Michigan State -10

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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