Mississippi State vs. Auburn - 1/26/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Auburn at Mississippi State
Saturday, January 26, 2019 at 8:30 PM (Humphrey Coliseum)
Mississippi State Bulldogs -1.5 -- Over/Under: 149.5
TV: SEC Network
The Auburn Tigers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in SEC college basketball action from the Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday night.
The Auburn Tigers will look to rebound after back-to-back losses, splitting their last 8 games following an 80-77 loss to South Carolina in their last outing. Bryce Brown and Jared Harper tied for the team-high with 17 points apiece, with Brown shooting 4 of 11 with 3 threes and a 6 of 7 mark from the foul line while Harper dished out a team-high 5 assists as well in the loss. Chuma Okeke added 13 points and a team-high 7 rebounds to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Auburn in the losing effort while Anfernee McLemore added 6 points to match his 6 rebounds as well in the defeat. Brown leads Auburn in scoring with 16.9 points per game while Okeke leads the Tigers in rebounding with 6.2 rebounds per game and Harper leads Auburn in assists with 6.6 assists per game this season. As a team, Auburn is averaging 83.8 points per game on 45.2% shooting from the field, 35.9% from 3-point range and 68.7% from the foul line this season.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs could use a win after splitting their last 6 games following a 76-55 loss to Kentucky in their last outing. Quinndary Weatherspoon led the Bulldogs with 19 points on 8 of 17 shooting while Tyson Carter added 11 points as the only other Mississippi State player to score in double figures in the losing effort. Lamar Peters added 5 points with 3 assists while Reggie Perry matched his 8 points with a team-high 8 rebounds. Abdul Ado added 3 blocks while Aric Holman had a pair of steals and a pair of blocks as well in the losing effort. Quinndary Weatherspoon leads Mississippi State in scoring with 16.8 points per game while Holman leads the Bulldogs in rebounding with 7.7 rebounds per game and Peters leads Mississippi State in assists with 5.7 assists per game this season. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 77.7 points per game on 47.1% shooting from the field, 37.2% from behind the arc and 74.9% from the foul line this season.
Auburn is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Mississippi State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.
Neither of these two teams have been anything to write home about as of late when it comes to consistency and both have had issues against the spread. However, while Auburn has had issues against a step up in competition, the Tigers have also had issues on the road, where Auburn is 1-3 SU and are being outscored by 1.5 points per game this season. Mississippi State has been frustrating as well, but the Bulldogs have gone 9-1 SU at home and are outscoring opponents by 15.3 points per game at the Hump this season. I’ll lay the points with Mississippi State as I feel they have a better chance of turning things around in this matchup.