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Mississippi Valley State vs. Texas Southern - 1/28/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas Southern at Mississippi Valley State
Date & Time Monday January 28, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Location
Robert W. Harrison Complex
Itta Bena, MS
The Line
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils +12 -- Over/Under: 156
TV Channel
https://www.youtube.com/user/MVSUsports
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Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Southern Tigers will travel to the Robert W. Harrison Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils this Monday night in College Basketball action.

The Texas Southern Tigers dropped to 8-11 (3-3 SWAC) on the season after being defeated by the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, 90-86, this past Saturday. Texas Southern fought back from a 43-29 halftime deficit to trail by just a 3-point margin with 1:37 left in regulation, however, the Tigers couldn’t get any closer as the Golden Lions were solid at the FT-line down the stretch. Texas Southern shot 49.1% from the field however, allowed Arkansas-Pine Bluff to shoot 53.2% from the field & 55.6% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Tigers was Jeremy Combs who had 30 points, 9 rebounds, 1 assist, and a block.

On the season, Texas Southern is averaging 77.7 ppg on 43.0% shooting from the field. The Tigers are averaging 7.8 three-pointers per game on 31.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas Southern has been led by Jeremy Combs (14.0 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg), Jalyn Patterson (13.5 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.4 spg), Trayvon Reed (13.1 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 1.7 bpg), and Devocio Butler (8.9 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Texas Southern is allowing their opponents to average 81.1 ppg on 46.7% shooting from the field. The Tigers have a rebound margin of -2.9 and a turnover margin of 1.3.

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 3-17 (1-5 SWAC) on the season after being defeated by the Prairie View A&M Panthers, 89-78, this past Saturday. Mississippi Valley State went into halftime tied at 40-all, however, the Delta Devils struggled defensively in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after they fell behind by a 58-51 margin. Mississippi Valley State shot just 25.0% from beyond the arc and committed 15 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Delta Devils was Jordan Evans who had 14 points, 3 rebounds, 6 assists and a steal.

On the season, Mississippi Valley State is averaging 64.0 ppg on 38.2% shooting from the field. The Delta Devils are averaging 5.2 three-pointers per game on 30.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Mississippi Valley State has been led by Jordan Evans (11.9 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.5 apg), Dante Scott (11.5 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.8 apg), Gregory Jones-Rollins (11.1 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.3 spg), and Emmanuel Ejeh (6.0 ppg, 6.8 rpg).

Defensively, Mississippi Valley State is allowing their opponents to average 81.0 ppg on 47.3% shooting from the field. The Delta Devils have a rebound margin of 11.4 and a turnover margin of -1.0.

The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Delta Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. SWAC opponents.

Texas Southern has lost 3 of their last 4 games and although their offense has been able to put up points on the board this season as they rank 76th in scoring offense, the defense has really struggled as they currently rank just 339th in scoring defense & 308th in defensive FG%. Mississippi Valley State has had a tough time picking up wins this season and come into this game ranked just 339th in scoring offense & T-337th in scoring defense.

Texas Southern pulled off one of the biggest upsets this season at Oregon, however, the Tigers have struggled overall on the road this season as they have posted just a 5-10 record. Mississippi Valley State is not the greatest of teams, but they did play a brutal non-conference schedule and I don’t think they are as bad as their numbers currently show. This game has yet to be lined, however, between the fact that the Delta Devils have been solid ATS as of late and was recently competitive agianst Prairie View, I’m initially leaning on taking Mississippi Valley State and what I would imagine be a decent amount of points. Check back later for updates!

Pick:
Mississippi Valley State +12

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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