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Missouri State vs. Illinois State - 2/10/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Illinois State at Missouri State
Date & Time Sunday February 10, 2019, 4:00 PM (EST)
Location
JQH Arena
Springfield, MO
The Line
Missouri State Bears -5.5 -- Over/Under: 135
TV Channel
The Valley; Fox Sports - Midwest; NBC Sports - Chicago Plus; ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Illinois State at Missouri State
Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Illinois State Redbirds will travel to JQH Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears this Sunday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Illinois State Redbirds had their 3-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 14-10 (7-4 MVC) on the season after being defeated by the Valparaiso Crusaders, 69-53, this past Tuesday. Illinois State was outplayed by the Crusaders on both ends of the court in the 1st half and couldn’t fight back after they went into halftime trailing by a 41-24 margin. Illinois State allowed Valparaiso to shoot 50.9% from the field and outrebounded the Crusaders by a 31-23 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Redbirds was Zach Copeland who had 17 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 steals.

On the season, Illinois State is averaging 70.7 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Redbirds are averaging 8.3 three-pointers per game on 35.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Illinois State has been led by Milik Yarbrough (16.9 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 3.5 apg), Phil Fayne (15.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 1.0 spg, 1.4 bpg), Zach Copeland (10.8 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.3 apg), and Josh Jefferson (9.4 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 1.8 apg).

Defensively, Illinois State is allowing their opponents to average 71.1 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Redbirds have a rebound margin of -1.3 and a turnover margin of 0.1.

The Missouri State Bears improved to 12-12 (6-5 MVC) on the season after defeating the Southern Illinois Salukis, 65-59, this past Wednesday night. Missouri State allowed Southern Illinois to fight back into the game in the 2nd half after the Bears held a 36-23 halftime lead, however, Missouri State recovered and was able to pull away after taking a 62-54 lead with 1:48 left in regulation. Missouri State shot 47.7% from the field and committed just 7 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Bears was Jarred Dixon who had 19 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 steals.

On the season, Missouri State is averaging 71.7 ppg on 45.9% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game on 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Missouri State has been led by Tulio Da Silva (14.6 ppg, 7.0 rpg), Keandre Cook (13.6 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.0 spg), Jarred Dixon (13.0 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg), and Josh Webster (7.5 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 5.2 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Missouri State is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 0.8 and a turnover margin of 2.5.

The Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Illinois State has won 3 of their last 5 games and come into this game ranked 248th in scoring offense, 207th in FG%, and 175th in scoring defense.

The Missouri State Bears have won 4 of their last 5 games and currently rank 217th in scoring offense, 112th in FG%, and 114th in scoring defense.

Illinois State has had a lot of success in this series as of late, however, it’s hard to ignore the recent success that Missouri State has had at home as they’ve won their last 3 home conference games which including an impressive 70-35 victory of the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers. I think the Bears defense is going to be the difference in this one and I’m taking Missouri State to cover this small home spread.

Pick:
Missouri State Bears -5.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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