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Missouri vs. Morehead State - 12/29/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Morehead State Eagles (4-8) at Missouri Tigers (8-3)
Date & Time Saturday December 29, 2018, 2:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Missouri Tigers -16 -- Over/Under: 137.5
TV Channel
ESPN - SEC Network
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NCAA BB | Morehead State Eagles (4-8) at Missouri Tigers (8-3)
Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

The Morehead State Eagles will travel to Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Morehead State Eagles snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 4-8 on the season after defeating the IUPUI Jaguars, 74-70, on December 21st. Morehead State allowed IUPUI to fight back and take a late 2nd half lead after leading by as much as 15 points in the 1st half, however, the Eagles defense came up big late and Morehead State was able to secure the victory after closing out the final 2:03 of regulation on a 6-2 run. Morehead State shot 45.0% from the field and outrebounded IUPUI by a 45-40 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Eagles was Lamontray Harris who had 20 points, 9 rebounds, 2 blocks, and a steal.

On the season, Morehead State is averaging 76.4 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Eagles are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 32.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Morehead State has been led by Jordan Walker (15.3 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg), Lamontray Harris (13.1 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 1.4 apg), A.J. Hicks (11.8 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 5.5 apg, 2.2 spg), and Malek Green (8.9 ppg, 5.6 rpg).

Defensively, Morehead State is allowing their opponents to average 79.4 ppg on 45.9% shooting from the field. The Eagles have a rebound margin of 0.9 and a turnover margin of 0.8.

The Missouri Tigers won their 5th straight game and improved to 8-3 on the season after defeating the Illinois Fighting Illini, 79-63, this past Saturday. Missouri was outstanding on the offensive end agianst the Fighting Illini and had no trouble securing the victory after a 9-0 Tigers run gave Missouri a 72-58 lead with 3:36 left in regulation. Missouri shot 51.7% from the field and 52.4% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Tigers was Jordan Geist who had 20 points, 6 rebounds, 7 assists, and a steal.

On the season, Missouri is averaging 68.5 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Tigers are averaging 8.8 three-pointers per game on 39.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Missouri has been led by Jordan Geist (13.4 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.3 spg), Jeremiah Tilmon (11.5 ppg, 7.1 rpg), Mark Smith (11.1 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Kevin Puryear (9.0 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.5 apg).

Defensively, Missouri is holding their opponents to an average of 63.4 ppg on 42.2% shooting from the field. The Tigers have a rebound margin of 3.8 and a turnover margin of -0.4.

The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. SEC opponents and 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Morehead State is coming off their most impressive victory of the season at home against IUPUI and although their offense can put some points on the board, they need to find some answers for a defense that is ranked 314th in scoring defense and 286th in defensive FG%.  Missouri continues to win games as they are coming off back to back double-digits victories at home agianst Xavier & Illinois and has been led by their defense that ranks 33rd in scoring defense. As much as I like how Missouri is playing at the moment, I think this line is a bit inflated with the recent success of the Tigers. Morehead State is still searching for the first road victory however, the Eagles have recently played competitive games on the road agianst solid teams in Marshall, Samford, & Wright State and although I don’t see the Eagles picking up their first road victory in this one, I think they can do enough with the points to cover. 

Pick:
Morehead State Eagles +16

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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