Monmouth vs. Fairfield - 1/17/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Fairfield at Monmouth
Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 7:00 PM (OceanFirst Bank Center)
Monmouth Hawks -2 -- Over/Under: 137
TV: ESPN 3
The Fairfield Stags will travel to the OceanFirst Bank Center to take on the Monmouth Hawks this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Fairfield Stags had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 5-12 (2-3 MAAC) on the season after being defeated by the Quinnipiac Bobcats, 80-78, this past Sunday. Fairfield struggled defensively against Quinnipiac, and allowed the Bobcats to pull away late after a 6-0 Quinnipiac run gave the Bobcats a 78-72 lead with :32 seconds left in regulation. Fairfield shot 48.4% from the field, however, allowed Quinnipiac to shoot 49.0% from the field & 54.2% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Stags was Jesus Cruz who had 20 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 block, and a steal.
On the season, Fairfield is averaging 72.8 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Stags are averaging 9.6 three-pointers per game on 38.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Fairfield has been led by Landon Taliaferro (13.2 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.0 apg), Neftali Alvarez (12.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.6 spg), Jonathan Kasibabu (11.5 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Jesus Cruz (9.9 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.8 apg).
Defensively, Fairfield is allowing their opponents to average 75.7 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Stags have a rebound margin of -5.2 and a turnover margin of 0.8.
The Monmouth Hawks won their 2nd straight game and improved to 4-14 (3-2 MAAC) on the season after defeating the Siena Saints, 63-60 in OT, this past Monday night. Monmouth allowed Siena to fight back from an early 12-point 2nd half deficit to force OT, however, was able to pick up the road victory after holding Siena scoreless for the final 2:01 of regulation. Monmouth shot 40.0% from the field and outrebounded Siena by a 36-30 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Hawks was Diago Quinn who had 14 points, 9 rebounds, and a block.
On the season, Monmouth is averaging 63.2 ppg on 40.3% shooting from the field. The Hawks are averaging 4.7 three-pointers per game on 27.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Monmouth has been led by Ray Sainave (12.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.3 spg), Deion Hammond (11.9 ppg, 2.2 rpg), Diago Quinn (8.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg), and Mustapha Traore (6.4 ppg, 5.4 rpg).
Defensively, Monmouth is allowing their opponents to average 73.8 ppg on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Hawks have a rebound margin of -1.9 and are averaging 6.8 steals per game.
The Stags are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, however, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.
Fairfield has lost 7 of their last 10 games and although the Stags are a threat on the offensive end behind the arc, the Stags have struggled defensively this season as they rank just 269th in scoring defense & 314th in defensive FG%. Monmouth started the season with 12 consecutive losses, however, the Hawks have won 3 of their last 4 games. Monmouth has been great defensively as of late, however, if they’re going to continue to win games, they will most likely have to improve their offense which ranks 340th in scoring offense & 327th in FG%.
Fairfield comes into this game just 2-7 on the road this season and although it’s been a struggle for the Hawks this season, I don’t think Monmouth is as bad as their record might make you think as they did play a difficult non-conference schedule. Monmouth has won both home conference games by double-digits this season and as I don’t think Fairfield is anything special this season, I’m taking Monmouth to cover this small home spread.