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Montana State vs. Idaho State - 1/26/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Idaho State at Montana State
Date & Time Saturday January 26, 2019, 4:00 PM (EST)
Location
Brick Breeden Fieldhouse
Bozeman, MT
The Line
Montana State Bobcats -5 -- Over/Under: 154.5
TV Channel
PLUTO
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Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Idaho State Bengals will travel to Brick Breeden Fieldhouse to take on the Montana State Bobcats this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Idaho State Bengals lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 7-10 (3-5 Big Sky) on the season after being defeated by the Montana Grizzlies, 80-69, this past Thursday night. Idaho State trailed by just a 33-30 margin at halftime, however, came out flat in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after Montana took a 49-31 lead with 14:13 left in regulation. Idaho State shot 43.4% from the field and lost the turnover battle by a 16-9 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bengals was Brandon Boyd who had 16 points, 2 rebounds, 5 assists, and 3 steals.

On the season, Idaho State is averaging 73.2 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. The Bengals are averaging 9.6 three-pointers per game on 36.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Idaho State has been led by Brandon Boyd (14.1 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 4.0 apg), Balint Mocsan (10.6 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 spg), Chier Maker (9.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg), and Jared Stutzman (8.0 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.4 apg).

Defensively, Idaho State is allowing their opponents to average 76.8 ppg on 46.5% shooting from the field. The Bengals have a rebound margin of 0.1 and a turnover margin of -1.9.

The Montana State Bobcats lost their 3rd consecutive game and dropped to 7-11 (4-4 Big Sky) on the season after being defeated by the Weber State Wildcats, 93-84, this past Thursday. Montana State had no answers on the defensive end for the Wildcats and couldn’t fight back after Weber State took a 61-44 lead with 16:28 left in regulation. Montana State shot allowed Weber State to shoot 54.5% from the field & 48.0% from beyond the arc and was also outrebounded by the Wildcats by a 47-27 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bobcats was Tyler Hall who had 28 points, 3 rebounds, & 3 assists.

On the season, Montana State is averaging 75.7 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field. The Bobcats are averaging 8.9 three-pointers per game on 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Montana State has been led by Tyler Hall (20.1 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 2.5 apg), Harald Frey (14.6 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 4.8 apg, 1.1 spg), Keljin Blevins (10.9 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.2 apg), and Devin Kirby (7.9 ppg, 5.7 rpg).

Defensively, Montana State is allowing their opponents to average 80.6 ppg on 48.5% shooting from the field. The Bobcats have a rebound margin of -0.3 and a turnover margin of -1.1.

The Bengals are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss, however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

The Bengals have lost 4 of their last 5 games and have really struggled on the defensive end this season as they rank just 289th in scoring defense & 302nd in defensive FG%. Montana State has lost 4 of their last 7 games  and although they have a solid offense that ranks 123rd in scoring offense, the Bobcats defense has really struggled as they rank just 338th in scoring defense & 342nd in defensive FG%.

Montana State has one of the best scorers in the Big Sky in Tyler Hall and although they can up points, they do have a winning record at home this season. The Bobcats beat some of the lesser competition in the Big Sky in Portland State & Sacramento State by double-digits at home this season and as I think Idaho State is similar in competition of those two teams, I think the Bobcats will be able to do enough at home to cover this mid-range spread. Take Montana State to cover.

Pick:
Montana State Bobcats -5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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