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Montana vs. Sacramento State - 1/3/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Sacramento State Hornets (6-4) at Montana Grizzlies (9-4)
Date & Time Thursday January 3, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Montana Grizzlies -12 -- Over/Under: 138
TV Channel
PLUTO
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NCAA BB | Sacramento State Hornets (6-4) at Montana Grizzlies (9-4)
Kelly Ross-USA TODAY Sports Images

The Sacramento State Hornets will travel to Dahlberg Arena to take on the Montana Grizzlies this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Sacramento State Hornets lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 6-4 (0-1 Big Sky) on the season after being defeated by the Northern Colorado Bears, 70-65, this past Saturday. Sacramento State held a 37-27 halftime lead, however, struggled offensively in the 2nd half and allowed Northern Colorado to pull away after the Bears took a 66-65 lead with :46 seconds left in regulation. Sacramento State allowed Northern Colorado to shoot 50.0% from the field while the Hornets shot 44.6% from the field and 12.5% from beyond the arc. Lading the way for the Hornets was Joshua Patton who had 15 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists, & 3 blocks.

On the season, Sacramento State is averaging 71.0 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Hornets are averaging 4.3 three-pointers per game on 27.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Sacramento State has been led by Marcus Graves (14.7 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 5.6 apg, 2.2 spg), Joshua Patton (14.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.0 bpg), Ethan Esposito (10.3 ppg, 6.1 rpg), and Bryce Fowler (7.2 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.0 apg).

Defensively, Sacramento State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.1 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field. The Hornets have a rebound margin of 4.0 and a turnover margin of 2.9.

The Montana Grizzlies won their 3rd straight game and improved to 9-4 (2-0 Big Sky) on the season after defeating the Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 89-76, this past Monday. Montana led by a 46-36 margin at halftime and pulled away after a 6-0 Grizzlies run gave Montana a 73-57 lead with 6:26 left in regulation. Montana shot 53.1% from the field and forced Southern Utah into committing 17 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Grizzlies was Jamar Akoh who had 23 points, 6 rebounds, 3 steals, and an assist.

On the season, Montana is averaging 74.5 ppg on 49.0% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies are averaging 8.2 three-pointers per game on 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Montana has been led by Jamar Akoh (16.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.5 spg), Ahmaad Rorie (16.2 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Michael Oguine (13.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.2 apg), and Sayeed Pridgett (11.9 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.4 spg).

Defensively, Montana is allowing their opponents to average 68.7 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies have a rebound margin of -1.1 and a turnover margin of 2.2.

The Hornets are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 Thursday games and just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Grizzlies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.

Sacramento State has a solid defense that ranks 31st in scoring defense, however, putting points up on the board has been a major issue for the Hornets as they come into this game ranked T-261st in scoring offense, 188th in FG%, and 339th in 3P-FG%. Montana has won 4 of their last 5 games, which included a solid win on the road against South Dakota State, and come into this matchup ranked T-173rd in scoring offense, 31st in FG%, and 112th in scoring defense. Montana is 4-0 at home this season and as I think their defense is going to limit the Hornets to 50-55 points, I’m taking Montana to cover this double-digit home spread.

Pick:
Montana Grizzlies -12

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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