Sacramento State at Montana
|Date & Time||Thursday March 14, 2019, 2:00 PM (EDT)|
Montana Grizzlies -8 -- Over/Under: 139.5
E Sports Network; PLUTO
The Sacramento State Hornets and Montana Grizzlies will square off at CenturyLink Arena this Thursday afternoon in the Quarterfinals of the Big Sky Men’s Championship.
The 9-seed Sacramento State Hornets (15-15; 8-12) came out of the gates strong in their 1st round match-up agianst the 8-seeded Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, and kept their season alive after a 72-60 victory on Wednesday afternoon. Sacramento State outplayed Northern Arizona on both ends of the court and had no trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 42-27 lead. Sacramento State shot 52.9% from the field & 60.0% from beyond the arc while holding the Lumberjacks to just 39.6% shooting from the field. Leading the way for the Hornets was Marcus Graves who had 27 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, and 4 steals.
Coming into their game against Northern Arizona, Sacramento State was averaging 70.8 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Hornets were averaging 5.2 three-pointers per game on 31.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Sacramento State has been led by Marcus Graves (16.2 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 5.5 apg, 1.9 spg), Joshua Patton (13.3 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.7 bpg), Izayah Mauriohooho-Le’afa (8.6 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.4 spg), and Bryce Fowler (7.8 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.2 spg).
Defensively, Sacramento State was allowing their opponents to average 69.5 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field. The Hornets have a rebound margin of 0.3 and a turnover margin of 2.5.
The Montana Grizzlies came into this season as the favorites in the Big Sky after reaching the NCAA Tournament last season and the Grizzlies disappoint as they finished their regular season with an overall record of 23-8 while earning the top-seed in the Big Sky Championship with a conference record of 16-4. Montana’s best non-conference win came agianst South Dakota State and come into post season playing winning 13 of their last 15 games. Montana has been solid on both ends of the court this season as they currently rank 71st in scoring offense, 8th in FG%, and T-113th in scoring defense.
On the season, Montana is averaging 76.9 ppg on 49.6% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies are averaging 8.2 three-pointers per game on 37.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Montana has been led by Jamar Akoh (15.5 ppg, 8.7 rpg, 1.7 apg, 2.0 spg), Sayeed Pridgett (14.9 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg), Ahmaad Rorie (14.7 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 4.0 apg), and Michael Oguine (13.2 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 spg).
Defensively, Montana is allowing their opponents to average 69.0 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies have a rebound margin of 2.7 and a turnover margin of 1.4.
Montana defeated Sacramento State in both regular season match-ups this season as the Grizzlies won by an 87-56 margin at home in early January, while more recently, defeating the Hornets by an 86-68 margin last Saturday.
The Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, however, are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. The Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
Sacramento State has been led by their defense this season, however, the Hornets have had no answers for the Grizzlies on either end of the court in both match-ups this season. Montana is a solid team that gave Michigan a run for their money in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament last season and as I don’t see any reason why they can’t put up another 80+ points agianst a Hornets team that was just 4-10 on the road this season, I’m taking Montana to cover this large spread.