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Morehead State at Austin Peay - 3/7/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Morehead State at Austin Peay
Date & Time Thursday March 7, 2019, 7:30 PM (EST)
Location
Ford Center
Evansville, IN
The Line
Austin Peay Governors - -9 -- Over/Under: 151.5
TV Channel
ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Morehead State at Austin Peay
Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

The Morehead State Eagles and Austin Peay Governors will face off at the Ford Center in the Quarterfinals of the OVC Men’s Championship this Thursday night.

The 5-seed Morehead State Eagles improved to 13-19 on the season and kept their season alive after defeating the 8-seed SIU-Edwardsville by a 72-68 margin in the 1st round of the OVC Men’s Championship this past Wednesday night. Morehead State allowed SIU-Edwardsville to fight back in the game in the 2nd half after leading by a 37-24 margin at halftime, however, the Eagles were able to hang on late after taking a 66-61 lead with 1:51 left in regulation. Morehead State shot 49.1% from the field and 31.6% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Eagles was Malek Green who had 23 points, 8 rebounds, 1 assist, 2 blocks, and 1 steal.

On the season, Morehead State is averaging 82.3 ppg on 47.6% shooting from the field. The Eagles are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 38.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Morehead State has been led by Jordan Walker (15.6 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.2 spg), Lamontray Harris (13.6 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.6 apg), A.J. Hicks (11.9 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 5.7 apg, 1.8 spg), and De’Von Cooper (8.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.7 apg).

Defensively, Morehead State is allowing their opponents to average 76.8 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field. The Eagles have a rebound margin of -1.2 and a turnover margin of 0.6.

The Austin Peay Governors finished their season with an overall record of 21-10 and earned the 4-seed in the OVC Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with a 13-5 record. Austin Peay had a slow start to their season as they opened out of gates with just a 2-4 record, however, the Governors were outstanding at the beginning of conference as they raced out to a 10-2 record in their first 12 OVC games. OVC’s biggest conference win game with a 74-71 victory at Jacksonville State and although they went 0-3 combined agianst Belmont & Murray State, the Governors were highly competitive in those three games. Austin Peay was led by their offense that comes into postseason play ranked 19th in scoring offense & 36th in FG%.

On the season, Austin Peay is averaging 82.3 ppg on 47.6% shooting from the field. The Governors are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 38.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Austin Peay has been led by Terry Taylor (20.6 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.1 spg), Chris Porter-Bunton (13.0 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1. spg), Steve Harris (10.5 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.7 apg), and Jabari McGhee (9.0 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.1 spg).

Defensively, Austin Peay is allowing their opponents to average 72.5 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field. The Governors have a rebound margin of 2.6 and a turnover margin of 4.0.

The Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Governors are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games.

Austin Peay defeated Morehead State in both their matchups this season as the Governors won by an 81-67 margin at home in early January, while defeated the Eagles by a 73-70 margin on the road in mid-February.

I’m shocked that this game is currently set at a pick-em considering that Austin Peay was just recently favored by 5 on the road at Morehead State. Austin Peay’s offense should have not problem putting up points agianst Morehead State’s 301st ranked scoring defense and I’m going to take the Governors without any hesitation in this one. Good Luck!

UPDATE - I thought the line was too good to be true...haha. Austin Peay is favored by 9. I'm rolling with the Governors.

 

Pick:
Austin Peay Governors - 9

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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