Murray State vs. Florida State - 3/23/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Florida State vs. Murray State
Saturday, March 23, 2019 at 5:10 PM (XL Center)
The Line: Florida State -6 -- Over/Under: 144
The Florida State Seminoles and Murray State Racers meet Saturday in the second round of the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the XL Center.
The Florida State Seminoles look for another victory after suffering a close call on Thursday against Vermont. The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 74.9 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 67.2 points on 41 percent shooting. Mfiondu Kabengele is averaging 12.9 points and 5.7 rebounds while Terance Mann is averaging 11.2 points and 2.5 assists. Trent Forrest is dishing 3.8 assists and Phil Cofer is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.3 rebounds per game. The Florida State Seminoles have won seven of their last nine non-home games.
The Murray State Racers are fresh off a beatdown over Marquette, a game in which they dominated from start to finish. The Murray State Racers are averaging 83.3 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 67.8 points on 41 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 24.6 points and 10 assists while Shaq Buchanan is averaging 13 points and 4.2 rebounds. Tevin Brown is the third double-digit scorer and Darnell Cowart is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Murray State Racers are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 73.8 percent from the free throw line. The Murray State Racers are allowing 28.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game. The Murray State Racers have won each of their last seven non-home games.
The Racers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 Saturday games, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Seminoles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games, 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The under is 9-4 in Seminoles last 13 neutral site games. The over is 5-0 in Seminoles last 5 non-conference games. The under is 6-2 in Racers last 8 neutral site games. The under is 5-1 in Racers last 6 non-conference games.
The Florida State Seminoles had trouble with Vermont and there was a point in the game where it looked like they could be going home. While they should be favored and their length is tough to prepare for, it's tough to be confident in the Noles right now. I mentioned previously that the Murray State Racers are a serious Cinderella threat and have one of the best players in the country in Ja Morant, a player who is capable of putting his team on his back and carrying his team deep into the tournament like we've seen from past college greats. As long as Morant is doing his thing, Murray State is not a team to overlook. I want the points in a game the Racers have a good chance to win outright.