New Mexico vs. UNLV - 1/8/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UNLV at New Mexico
Tuesday, January 8, 2019 at 11:00 PM (Dreamstyle Arena)
The Line: New Mexico Lobos -4.5 -- Over/Under: 153
The UNLV Rebels will travel to Dreamstyle Arena to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Tuesday night in College Basketball action.
The UNLV Rebels won their 2nd straight game and improved to 8-6 (2-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Wyoming Cowboys, 68-56, this past Saturday night. UNLV was outstanding defensively in the 2nd half and was able to pull away after taking a 56-40 lead with 8:28 left in regulation. UNLV held Wyoming to 40.8% shooting from the field and forced the Cowboys into committing 18 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Rebels was Joel Ntambwe who had a double-double with 31 points, 10 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, and a steal.
On the season, UNLV is averaging 73.5 ppg on 41.4% shooting from the field. The Rebels are averaging 6.6 three-pointers per game on 29.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UNLV has been led by Kris Clyburn (12.5 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.2 apg), Joel Ntambwe (12.4 ppg, 6.1 rpg), Amauri Hardy (11.7 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 3.4 apg), and Shakur Juiston (10.8 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.5 spg).
Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to average 75.9 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Rebels have a rebound margin of -0.7 and average 7.8 spg.
The New Mexico Lobos won their 3rd straight game and improved to 8-6 (2-0 MW) on the season after upsetting the 6th ranked Nevada Wolf Pack, 85-58, this past Saturday. New Mexico dominated the previously undefeated Wolf Pack in all aspects of the game and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 64-45 lead with 7:51 left in regulation. New Mexico held Nevada to just 33.3% from the field and 18.2% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Lobos was Anthony Mathis who had 27 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists, and a steal.
On the season, New Mexico is averaging 78.9 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Lobos are averaging 9.9 three-pointers per game on 36.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Mexico has been led by Anthony Mathis (16.4 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.1 spg), Vance Jackson (11.9 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.1 spg), Carlton Bragg (10.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.2 spg), and Makauch Maluach (9.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.3 apg).
Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 75.9 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Lobos have a rebound margin of -0.7 and are averaging 7.8 steals per game.
The Rebels are 7-21-4 ATS in their last 32 games following an ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Lobos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. Mountain West opponents and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
UNLV has started off conference play in winning fashion however, I can’t say that I was very impressed by the Rebels home victories over Colorado State & Wyoming. UNLV has struggled a bit on both ends of the court as they rank 196th in scoring offense, 304th in FG%, and T-170th in scoring defense. New Mexico is coming off one of the bigger upsets of the season and although they rank just 272nd in scoring defense, has held their last 3 opponents to an average of just 54.3 ppg.
UNLV is has a winning record but this is not the greatest Rebel team we’ve seen in recent years and between the fact that New Mexico is tough at home and that their T-76th ranked scoring offense should have plenty of opportunities to put up points against the Rebels defense, I’m taking New Mexico to cover this home spread.