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New Mexico vs. Utah State - 1/26/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Utah State at New Mexico
Date & Time Saturday January 26, 2019, 4:00 PM (EST)
Dreamstyle Arena
Albuquerque, NM
The Line
Utah State Aggies -7.5 -- Over/Under: 150
TV Channel
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Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Utah State Aggies and the New Mexico Lobos meet in a Mountain West conference college basketball matchup from Dreamstyle Arena on Saturday afternoon.

The Utah State Aggies will look to build on their current 3-game winning streak after an 87-72 win over Colorado State in their last outing. Neemias Queta and Brock Miller tied for the team-high with 18 points, with Queta shooting 8 of 11 from the floor along with 11 rebounds, a pair of steals and 3 blocks while Miller shot 6 of 9 from 3-point range. Sam Merill added 16 points with 3 threes and a team-high 8 assists while Quinn Taylor and Diogo Brito each had 12 points with Taylor adding 9 rebounds, 5 assists and 3 steals while Brito added a pair of triples. Merrill leads Utah State with an average of 18.7 points and 4.2 assists per game while Queta leads the Aggies in rebounding with 8.2 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Utah State is averaging 79.1 points per game on 47.6% shooting from the field, 34.4% from behind the arc and 75.6% from the foul line this season. The Aggies are also tough defensively, allowing just 65.5 points per game and allowing their opponents to shoot just 37.9% from the field, the 6th-best field goal percentage against in the country this season.

The New Mexico Lobos will look to find some consistency after splitting their last 8 games following a 74-58 loss to UNLV in their last outing. Vance Jackson led the Lobos with 16 points along with 8 rebounds and 3 steals while Carlton Bragg and Keith McGee each had 12 points to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for New Mexico in the loss, with Bragg adding 12 rebounds for the double-double while McGee added a pair of threes. Vladimir Pinchuk added 8 rebounds of his own in just 12 minutes on the floor. Anthony Mathis was held to just 8 points but still leads the Lobos with an average of 15.5 points per game while Jackson leads New Mexico with averages of 7.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game this season. As a team, New Mexico is averaging 77.3 points per game on 43.5% shooting from the field, 36% from behind the arc and 69.8% from the foul line this season.

Utah State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the under is 21-9-2 in their last 32 road games. New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The home team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

Utah State has been the hotter and more consistent of these two teams as of late, so I can understand why they’d be favored here. However, I haven’t had much luck with road favorites as of late, and the Aggies haven’t been the best team to back in terms of making money ATS as of late. In all fairness, neither has New Mexico, but the home team has had all of the success between these two over the last 3 years and the Lobos have actually won each of Utah State’s last 4 visits to Dreamstyle Arena by double digits. A lot has changed this year, so the Aggies could come out and finally get the job done on the road, but given the history between the two teams and the amount of success the home team has enjoyed, I think it’s a better bet to take a shot with New Mexico and the points in this one.

New Mexico +7.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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