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New Mexico vs. Wyoming - 3/13/19 Mountain West Tournament First Round College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Wyoming at New Mexico
Date & Time Wednesday March 13, 2019, 4:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Thomas & Mack Center
Las Vegas, NV
The Line
New Mexico Lobos -7.5 -- O/U: 146.5
TV Channel
MTN
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NCAA BB | Wyoming at New Mexico
Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports

The Wyoming Cowboys and the New Mexico Lobos meet in a Mountain West conference first round matchup in college basketball action from the Thomas & Mack Center on Wednesday.

The Wyoming Cowboys enter the tournament as the #10 seed, finishing the regular season with an 8-23 overall record, including 4-14 in conference play. Wyoming scheduled some tough competition out of conference, with losses to Boston College, Oregon State and East Tennessee State as well as getting wins over Richmond and South Carolina. Conference play was tough for the Cowboys, starting 0-5, 1-8 and 2-14 before finally picking up back-to-back wins for the first time to finish the regular season. Justin James did it all for Wyoming, leading the Cowboys in scoring, assists and rebounds with 21.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game. Jake Hendricks comes into this game as the only other active double-digit scorer for Wyoming, averaging 10.9 points per game this season. As a team, Wyoming is averaging 65.7 points per game on 41.8% shooting from the field, 34.4% from behind the 3-point line and 72.5% from the foul line this season.

The New Mexico Lobos enter the conference tournament as the #7 seed, finishing the year with a 13-17 overall record, including 7-11 in conference play to finish in a 3-way tie for the #7 seed, winning out on a head-to-head tiebreaker with Colorado State and Boise State. New Mexico had a couple of tough opponents of their own with losses to New Mexico State (twice), St. Mary’s and Colorado to name a few. New Mexico split their first 6 conference games before falling apart a bit, losing 7 of their next 9 games. The Lobos finished winning back-to-back games before a loss to these same Wyoming Cowboys in their regular season finale. Anthony Mathis led the Lobos in scoring with 14.7 points per game while Vance Jackson added 12.5 points and a team-high 2.5 assists per game. Carlton Bragg added 10.9 points and 9.3 rebounds per game while Makuach Maluach added 10 points per game this season. As a team, New Mexico is averaging 76.1 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field, 34.9% from behind the arc and 69.8% from the foul line this season.

Wyoming is 12-37-3 ATS in their last 52 games against a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games. New Mexico is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Wyoming is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Wyoming made me eat my words in the regular season finale by defeating New Mexico, so I’m a bit hesitant to lay points again with the Lobos in a return matchup with so much at stake in a loser goes home scenario. However, like I’ve said before, fading the Cowboys had made you more than it’s lost you, and with this being a postseason game, I may expect the Cowboys to rely on Justin James even more so than they did in the regular season, and in my eyes, that’s not a recipe for success. This isn’t a game I’d play personally, but if forced to pick, I’d lay the points with New Mexico.

Pick:
New Mexico -7.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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