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North Carolina vs. Auburn - 3/29/19 NCAA Tournament College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Auburn vs. North Carolina
Date & Time Friday March 29, 2019, 7:29 PM (EDT)
Location
Sprint Center
Kansas City, Missouri
The Line
The Line: North Carolina -5.5 -- Over/Under: 160
TV Channel
TBS
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Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The Auburn Tigers and North Carolina Tar Heels meet Friday in the Sweet 16 of the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Sprint Center.

The Auburn Tigers look to advance to their first Elite Eight since 1986 after beating New Mexico State and Kansas to get to this point. The Auburn Tigers are averaging 79.1 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 69 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Bryce Brown is averaging 15.9 points and two rebounds while Jared Harper is averaging 15.3 points and 5.7 assists. Chuma Okeke is the third double-digit scorer and Austin Wiley is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Auburn Tigers are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 71.6 percent from the free throw line. The Auburn Tigers are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.3 rebounds per game. The Auburn Tigers have won their last eight non-home games.

The North Carolina Tar Heels look for their 10th Elite Eight appearance since 2000 after beating Iona and Washington in the first two rounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 86 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 72.5 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Cameron Johnson is averaging 17.1 points and 5.9 rebounds while Coby White is averaging 16.1 points and 4.2 assists. Luke Maye is the third double-digit scorer and Nassir Little is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free throw line. The North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.5 rebounds per game. The North Carolina Tar Heels have won 12 of their last 13 non-home games.

The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Tar Heels are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 vs. Southeastern, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Tar Heels last 6 overall. The over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 overall.

The Auburn Tigers come into this game hot, which includes shooting 40.2 percent shooting from deep in their last five games, but you have to question the balance of this team. Auburn has gotten this far because of its three-point shooting, but what happens when the shots aren't falling? What happens when a team actually defends past half court and forces tough shots? Auburn must prove it can win other ways or this run won't continue for much longer. The North Carolina Tar Heels are the most balanced team in the tournament and are getting after it on both ends, which includes winning their last five games by an average of 11.6 points. Nassir Little is also playing at a very high level off the bench, making these Tar Heels nearly unbeatable if it continues. I'm going to lay the reasonable chalk with the Tar Heels, as a team this one dimensional won't be able to play with this UNC club for 40 minutes.

Pick:
North Carolina -5.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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