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North Carolina vs. Duke - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Duke at North Carolina
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 6:00 PM (EST)
Location
Dean E. Smith Center
Chapel Hill, North Carolina
The Line
The Line: North Carolina -3 -- Over/Under: 166
TV Channel
ESPN
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Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

The Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Dean E. Smith Center.

The Duke Blue Devils look for another win after winning 13 of their last 15 games. The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 84.6 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 67 points on 39.5 percent shooting. RJ Barrett is averaging 23.3 points and 7.4 rebounds while Zion Williamson is averaging 21.6 points and 2.2 assists. Cam Reddish is the third double-digit scorer and Tre Jones is dishing 5.2 assists. The Duke Blue Devils are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 68.9 percent from the free throw line. The Duke Blue Devils are allowing 28.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.6 rebounds per game. The Duke Blue Devils have won seven of their last eight road games.

The North Carolina Tar Heels look to stay hot while building on their six-game winning streak. The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 86.8 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 73.1 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Cameron Johnson is averaging 16.9 points and 5.8 rebounds while Coby White is averaging 16.2 points and 4.1 assists. Luke Maye is the third double-digit scorer and Nassir Little is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game. The North Carolina Tar Heels have won six of their last seven home games.

The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Tar Heels are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic Coast and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Blue Devils are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in North Carolina and the road team is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Tar Heels last 7 overall. The under is 34-16-2 in Blue Devils last 52 overall.

I'm sure the Duke Blue Devils would love to get revenge in this contest, but it's a tough ask when Zion Williamson isn't on the court. The North Carolina Tar Heels are arguably the best rebounding team in the country and will once again have a field day in the paint when Duke doesn't have its big guy. Not to mention UNC is winning at home by an average of 14.7 points and is capable of getting extremely hot offensively. Yes, it's hard to turn down free points with a team as talented as Duke, but this is a bad matchup as long as Zion isn't playing. 

Pick:
North Carolina -3

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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