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North Carolina vs. Virginia - 2/11/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Virginia at North Carolina
Date & Time Monday February 11, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location
Dean E. Smith Center
Chapel Hill, NC
The Line
UNC Tar Heels -1 -- Over/Under: 143
TV Channel
ESPN
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The Virginia Cavaliers and the UNC Tar Heels meet in ACC college basketball action from the Dean E. Smith Center on Monday night.

The Virginia Cavaliers will look to rebound after having their 4-game winning streak snapped after a 2nd loss to Duke this season, this one coming by a final score of 81-71. Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome both led Virginia with 16 points with Guy shooting 6 of 15 with 3 threes and 3 assists while Jerome added a pair of threes, a team-high 4 assists and 3 steals. De’Andre Hunter added 11 points with 4 rebounds to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Virginia in the losing effort. Braxton Key added 4 points with a team-high 10 rebounds, a pair of steals and a pair of blocks. Guy leads Virginia in scoring with 14.6 points per game while Key leads the Cavaliers in rebounding with 6.1 rebounds per game and Jerome leads the Cavaliers in assists with 4.9 assists per game this season. As a team, Virginia is averaging 72.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the floor, 39.6% from behind the 3-point line, good for the 9th-best 3-point percentage in D-I, and a 76% mark from the foul line this season. The Cavaliers are also the nation’s tightest defense in terms of scoring defense, allowing a D-I low 54.1 points per game on 37.8% shooting from the field and 26.5% from 3-point range (5th and 2nd lowest in the country respectively) this season.

The UNC Tar Heels will look to build on their current 7-game winning streak after an 88-85 overtime win over Miami-Florida in their last outing. Coby White led the Heels with 33 points on 11 of 16 shooting with 7 threes and a team-high 6 assists while Luke Maye added 20 points and a share of the team-high with 6 rebounds. Cameron Johnson added 12 points while Nassir Little added 10 points with 6 rebounds of his own to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for UNC in the win. Garrison Brooks added 6 points to match his 6 rebounds as well in the winning effort. White leads North Carolina with an average of 15.9 points and 4.3 assists per game while Maye leads the Tar Heels in rebounding with 9.7 rebounds per game this season. As a team, North Carolina is averaging the 2nd-most points per game in the country, putting up 88.3 points per game this season while shooting 47.4% from the field, 37.9% from behind the 3-point line and 75% from the foul line this season.

Virginia is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games and 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. North Carolina is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Virginia is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings between these two teams but are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams at North Carolina.

These two teams have traded punches back and forth over recent years, and while Virginia is one of the nation’s best on defense, UNC has been flat out steamrolling teams for the most part during their current winning streak. Now all 7 wins haven’t been a murderers’ row of opposition, but the Tar Heels are winning by an average of 12.7 points per game during their winning streak and could catch Virginia on their heels are such a draining game against Duke that will have been just two days ago by the time tip-off happens. I think UNC can ride their momentum to a quality win at home here, so I’ll lay the point with the Tar Heels in this one.

Pick:
North Carolina -1

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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