Sacramento State at Northern Colorado
|Date & Time||Saturday February 9, 2019, 4:30 PM (EST)|
Bank of Colorado Arena
Northern Colorado Bears -9 -- Over/Under: 137.5
The Sacramento State Hornets will travel to Bank of Colorado Arena to take on the Northern Colorado Bears this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Sacramento State Hornets dropped to 9-10 (3-7 Big Sky) on the season after being defeated by the Weber State Wildcats, 75-65, this past Saturday. Sacramento State struggled from beyond the arc and couldn’t fight back after Weber State took a 63-42 lead midway through the 2nd half. Sacramento State shot just 16.7% from beyond the arc and was outrebounded by the Wildcats by a 35-28 margin. Leading the way for the Hornets was Marcus Graves who had 14 points, 4 assists, 1 rebound, and 2 steals.
On the season, Sacramento State is averaging 70.7 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Hornets are averaging 5.1 three-pointers per game on 30.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Sacramento State has been led by Marcus Graves (16.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 5.5 apg, 1.9 spg), Joshua Patton (13.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.9 bpg), Ethan Esposito (8.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg), and Izayah Mauriohooho-Le’afa (8.3 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.2 spg).
Defensively, Sacramento State is holding their opponents to an average of 67.8 ppg on 43.7% shooting from the field. The Hornets have a rebound margin of 0.6 and a turnover margin of 2.6.
The Northern Colorado Bears improved to 15-8 (9-3 Big Sky) on the season after defeating the Portland State Vikings, 80-62, this past Thursday night. Northern Colorado jumped all over the Vikings early in the is one and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 41-23 halftime lead. Northern Colorado shot 51.9% from the field and 45.5% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bears was Jonah Radebaugh who had 28 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assist, 1 block, and 2 steals.
On the season, Northern Colorado is averaging 77.7 ppg on 46.3% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 9.5 three-pointers per game on 36.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Northern Colorado has been led by Jordan Davis (24.0 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 4.7 apg, 1.3 spg), Bodie Hume (11.4 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.2 bpg), Jonah Radebaugh (10.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 2.1 apg), and Jalen Sanders (7.2 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.3 apg).
Defensively, Northern Colorado is allowing their opponents to average 70.6 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 3.8 and a turnover margin of -0.5.
The Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. Big Sky opponents and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Sacramento State has lost 8 of their last 11 games and although their defense ranks 86th in scoring defense, the Hornets have struggled offensively as they rank just 249th in scoring offense, 185th in FG%, and 324th in 3P-FG%.
Northern Colorado has won 4 of their last 5 games and has had one of the better offenses in the Big Sky this season as the Bears rank 71st in scoring offense, 92nd in FG%, and 83rd in 3P-FG%.
Northern Colorado defeated Sacramento State by a 70-65 margin on the road earlier this season and as the Bears are 7-2 at home this season, I think the Bears will be able to generate enough offense at home to win by double-digits and cover this spread. Take Northern Colorado to cover. Good Luck!