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Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy - 3/6/19 Horizon League Quarterfinal College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Detroit Mercy at Northern Kentucky
Date & Time Wednesday March 6, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location
BB&T Arena
Highland Heights, KY
The Line
Northern Kentucky Norse -12.5 -- O/U: 153
TV Channel
ESPN+
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The Cincinnati Enquirer-USA TODA

The Detroit Mercy Titans and the Northern Kentucky Norse meet in a Horizon League tournament quarterfinal matchup in college basketball action on Wednesday night.

The Detroit Mercy Titans enter the tournament as the #7-seed after finishing the season with an 11-19 overall mark, including 8-10 in conference play, finishing in 7th based on a tiebreaker with Youngstown State and IUPUI. The Titans gave themselves a tough road in the non-conference portion of their schedule, with road losses to Xavier, Toledo, Dayton and Butler just to name a few. The Titans could also use a win to build some confidence in the first round after losing 9 of their last 12 games to finish the season after starting conference play at 5-1. Antoine Davis led the Titans and was 3rd in the country in scoring with 26 points per game along with a team-high 3.4 assists per game while Josh McFolley was the only other Detroit player to average double figures scoring with 13.2 points per game and Gerald Blackshear Jr. averaged a team-high 5 rebounds per game. As a team, Detroit Mercy is averaging 73 points per game on 41.7% shooting from the field, 35.4% from behind the 3-point line and 71.5% from the foul line this season.

The Northern Kentucky Norse come into this quarterfinal as the #2-seed, finishing the year with a 23-8 overall record, including 13-5 in Horizon League play, missing out on the top seed because of a tiebreaker with Wright State. Northern Kentucky had a few tough opponents of their own, with a pair of 13-point road losses to Cincinnati and UCF as well as a pair of 3-point wins at home and on the road against Northern Illinois. Northern Kentucky started conference play strong at 8-1, but sputtered down the stretch, going 5-4 from the beginning of February onto the end of the year. Drew McDonald led the Norse in scoring and rebounding with 19.3 points and 9.6 rebounds per game while Jalen Tate was 2nd in scoring with 14.1 points per game while also leading the Norse in assists with 3.8 assists per game. Tyler Sharpe was 3rd on the team with 14 points per game and Dantez Walton was NKU’s 4th leading scorer with 11.2 points per game this season. As a team, Northern Kentucky is averaging 79 points per game on 48.3% shooting from the field, 36.1% from behind the arc and 66.7% from the foul line this season.

Detroit Mercy is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 Wednesday games while the under is 11-4 in their last 15 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Northern Kentucky is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Detroit Mercy is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

Anything can happen in the conference tournament, but in my opinion this is one of the easier picks on Wednesday’s board. Northern Kentucky has gone 16-1 SU at home this season and swept both meetings in the regular season with Detroit Mercy by a combined 54 points, including a 32-point win at home last month. I don’t see the Titans having the horses to keep up with Northern Kentucky here, so I’ll lay the points with the Norse in this one.

Pick:
Northern Kentucky -12.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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