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Northern Kentucky vs. Oakland - 3/11/19 Horizon League Tournament Semifinals College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Oakland at Northern Kentucky
Date & Time Monday March 11, 2019, 9:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Little Caesars Arena
Detroit, MI
The Line
Northern Kentucky Norse -5 -- O/U: 154
TV Channel
ESPNU
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NCAA BB | Oakland at Northern Kentucky
The Cincinnati Enquirer-USA TODA

The Oakland Golden Grizzlies and the Northern Kentucky Norse meet in a Horizon League tournament semifinal matchup in college basketball action from the Little Caesars Arena on Monday.

The Oakland Golden Grizzlies will look to advance to the conference championship game after picking up an 88-84 quarterfinal victory over Youngstown State in their last outing. Jaevin Cumberland led the Grizzlies with 23 points on 6 of 13 shooting with 4 threes and a 7 of 11 mark from the foul line while Tray Maddox Jr. had 19 points along with 3 steals and Xavier Hill-Mais added 17 points with 11 rebounds and 4 assists for the double-double. Brad Brechting added 11 points with a team-high 15 rebounds for a double-double of his own while Braden Norris chipped in 10 points with a team-high 7 assists to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Oakland in the win. Hill-Mais leads Oakland with an average of 18.5 points and 7 rebounds per game while Norris leads the Golden Grizzlies in assists with 5.1 assists per game this season. As a team, Oakland is averaging 77.2 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field, 38.3% from behind the arc and 74.3% from the foul line this season.

The Northern Kentucky Norse punched their ticket to the semis with a 99-88 win over Detroit Mercy in their last outing. Tyler Sharpe led the Norse with 25 points on 7 of 13 with 6 threes and 6 rebounds while Trevon Faulkner added 20 points on 8 of 13 shooting and Drew McDonald added 19 points. Chris Vogt chipped in 16 points with a team-high 8 rebounds to finish off the quartet of double-digit scorers for Northern Kentucky in the win. Jalen Tate added 8 points with a team-high 10 assists and a pair of steals while Dantez Walton had 6 points with 6 rebounds and 5 assists as well in the victory. McDonald leads Northern Kentucky with an average of 19.3 points and 9.5 rebounds per game while Tate leads the Norse in assists with 4 assists per game this season. As a team, Northern Kentucky is averaging 79.7 points per game on 48.4% shooting from the field, 36.3% from behind the arc and 67.1% from the foul line this season.

Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 neutral site games. Northern Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. Oakland is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

I can understand Northern Kentucky being favored here as the Norse have been one of the Horizon League’s best this season. However, these two did split the two regular season meetings, and in all fairness, Northern Kentucky hasn’t been the most trustworthy team ATS down the stretch and even in their first conference tournament game. And even though this is a neutral site game technically, you have to imagine that Oakland will have a strong fanbase out for this game with the Little Caesars Arena being just a 30 minute drive from the Oakland campus. Oakland has the horses offensively to keep up with Northern Kentucky and make this game close like the first meeting between the two that was decided by just two points, so I’ll take a stab at Oakland and the points in this one.

Pick:
Oakland +5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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