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Northwestern vs. Penn State - 2/4/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Penn State at Northwestern
Date & Time Monday February 4, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Welsh-Ryan Arena
Evanston, IL
The Line
Northwestern Wildcats -4 -- Over/Under: 131
TV Channel
FS1
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Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Penn State Nittany Lions will travel to Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats this Monday night in College Basketball action.

The Penn State Nittany Lions lost their 8th straight game and dropped to 7-14 (0-10 Big 10) on the season after being defeated by the 17th ranked Purdue Boilermakers, 99-90 in OT, this past Thursday. Penn State fought back after trailing by as many as 17-points in the 1st half to force overtime, however, the Nittany Lions had no answers for Purdue in OT and couldn’t fight back after the Boilermakers took a 93-85 lead with just 2:58 left in OT. Penn State shot 39.3% from the field while allowing Purdue to shoot 55.2% from both the field and from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Nittany Lions was Lamar Stevens who had 24 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists.

On the season, Penn State is averaging 68.5 ppg on 40.9% shooting from the field. The Nittany Lions are averaging 7.4 three-pointers per game on 31.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Penn State has been led by Lamar Stevens (18.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.0 apg), Rasir Bolton (11.7 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.6 apg), Josh Reaves (10.1 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 3.6 apg, 2.5 spg), and Mike Watkins (8.5 ppg, 8.6 rpg).

Defensively, Penn State is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Nittany Lions have a rebound margin of 1.9 and a turnover margin of 0.8.

The Northwestern Wildcats lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 12-9 (3-7 Big 10) on the season after being defeated by the 21st ranked Maryland Terrapins, 70-52, this past Tuesday. Northwestern struggled offensively against the Maryland defense and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 53-30 margin midway through the 2nd half. Northwestern shot just 31.0% from the field and 21.7% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Anthony Gaines who had 18 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals.

On the season, Northwestern is averaging 68.5 ppg on 41.4% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 7.5 three-pointers per game on 33.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Northwestern has been led by Vic Law (15.3 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.0 bpg), Dererk Pardon (13.9 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.2 bpg), Ryan Taylor (11.7 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.3 apg), and A.J. Turner (8.1 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.3 apg).

Defensively, Northwestern is holding their opponents to an average of 64.6 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of -1.5 and a turnover margin of 1.7.

The Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. Big Ten opponents. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, however, just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Penn State picked up some nice victories early in the season, including a 63-62 victory against Virginia Tech, however, the Nittany Lions have really struggled in Big-10 play behind an offense that ranks just 287th in scoring offense & 322nd in FG%. Northwestern has lost 4 of their last 6 games and although their defense is solid, ranking 29th in scoring defense, the offense has struggled as they rank just T-287th in scoring offense and 313th in FG%.

Penn State is still looking for their 1st Big-10 victory of the season, however, the Nittany Lions are a better team than their 7-14 record might indicate as they’ve been competitive despite yet picking up a conference victory this season. Northwestern is a solid team at home, however, as I expect both offenses to struggle a bit in this one, I think Penn State will once again be competitive and do enough with the points to cover in this one. Good Luck!

Pick:
Penn State Nittany Lions +4

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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