Ohio State vs. Iowa State - 3/22/19 NCAA March Madness First Round Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Ohio State at Iowa State
Friday, March 22, 2019 at 8:50 PM (Bank of Oklahoma Center)
Iowa State Cyclones -5.5 -- O/U: 140
The Ohio State Buckeyes and the Iowa State Cyclones meet in an NCAA tournament first round matchup in college basketball action from the Bank of Oklahoma Center on Friday night.
The Ohio State Buckeyes come into the tournament as a #11 seed, finishing the regular season with a record of 19-14, including non-conference wins over Cincinnati, Creighton and UCLA as well as a loss to Syracuse. The Buckeyes finished conference play with an 8-12 record, good enough for the #8 seed, taking down Indiana in the second round before falling to top-seeded Michigan State in the quarterfinals. Kaleb Wesson led Ohio State in scoring and rebounding with 14.4 points and 6.8 rebounds per game while C.J. Jackson is the Buckeyes’ only other double-digit scorer with 12.2 points as well as a team-high 3.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Ohio State is averaging 69.6 points per game on 43.7% shooting from the field, 34.3% from behind the arc and 73.4% from the foul line this season.
The Iowa State Cyclones come into the big dance as a #6 seed, finishing the year at 23-11, and representing the Big 12 as the conference tournament champion, guaranteeing their spot in March Madness. The Cyclones picked up non-conference wins over Missouri, San Diego State and Illinois as well as losses to Iowa and Arizona. Iowa State finished conference play with a mark of 9-9, locking up the #5 seed in the conference. The Cyclones defeated Baylor and top-seeded Kansas State before taking down Kansas in the championship game by a final score of 78-66. Marial Shayok led the Cyclones in scoring with 18.6 points per game while Lindell Wigginton came 2nd in scoring with 13.4 points per game and Talen-Horton Tucker was 3rd with 12.1 points per game. Michael Jacobson added 11.5 points as well as a team-high 6 rebounds per game as Iowa State’s 4th double-digit scorer this season. Nick Weiler-Babb added 9.2 points as well as a team-high 4 assists this season. As a team, Iowa State is averaging 77.4 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 36.5% from behind the arc and 73.2% from the foul line this season.
Ohio State is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 NCAA tournament games and 9-23 ATS in their last 32 neutral site games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall.
I’d like to give the Buckeyes the benefit of the doubt and say that they’ll be able to compete in the tournament, but I just think Ohio State is overmatched here. The Buckeyes struggled with consistency, while Iowa State played arguably their best basketball of the year to close out the season in winning the Big 12 title. The Cyclones are not only the better team offensively, but in the Big 12 tournament, they only allowed 63.7 points per game against three solid teams in Baylor, Kansas State and Kansas. I just don’t think Ohio State will have the answers for Iowa State’s scoring depth, so I’ll lay the points with the Cyclones here.