Oklahoma vs. TCU - 1/12/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
TCU at Oklahoma
Saturday, January 12, 2019 at 2:00 PM (Lloyd Noble Center)
Oklahoma Sooners -4 -- Over/Under: 147.5
TV: Fox Sports Networks
The 25th ranked TCU Horned Frogs will travel to the Lloyd Noble Center to take on the 23rd ranked Oklahoma Sooners this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The 25th ranked TCU Horned Frogs has their 9-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 12-2 (1-1 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the 7th ranked Kansas Jayhawks, 77-68, this past Wednesday night. TCU struggled protecting the ball on the road and couldn’t fight back after a 9-0 Kansas run gave the Jayhawks a 64-53 lead with 8:06 left in regulation. TCU shot 46.3% from the field & 42.9% from beyond the arc, however, committed 20 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was Kevin Samuel who had 12 points, 8 rebounds, 1 assist, and a block.
On the season, TCU is averaging 79.6 ppg on 49.7% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs are averaging 7.6 three-pointers per game on 35.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, TCU has been led by Desmond Bane (14.3 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.0 spg), Alex Robinson (13.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 8.4 apg, 1.6 spg), Kouat Noi (12.9 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg), and Jaylen Fisher (12.1 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.0 spg).
Defensively, TCU is holding their opponents to an average of 66.8 ppg on 40.5% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs have a rebound margin of 4.1 and a turnover margin of 2.1.
The Oklahoma Sooners dropped to 12-3 (1-2 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the 8th ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders, 66-59, this past Tuesday night. Oklahoma went into halftime with a 35-31 lead, however, the Sooners offense struggled against the Red Raiders defense in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after Texas Tech took a 58-53 lead with 2:58 left in regulation. Oklahoma shot just 32.3% from the field & 31.0% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Sooners was Christian James who had 14 points, 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, and a steal.
On the season, Oklahoma is averaging 74.3 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field. The Sooners are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game on 34.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Oklahoma has been led by Christian James (16.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.8 apg), Brady Manek (11.5 ppg, 7.5 rpg), Miles Reynolds (10.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Aaron Calixte (8.7 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.2 apg).
Defensively, Oklahoma is holding their opponents to an average of 66.2 ppg on 37.9% shooting from the field. The Sooners have a rebound margin of 5.9 and a turnover margin of -0.9.
The Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games and 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
TCU couldn’t pull off the win at Kansas, however, this a talented and experienced team that currently ranks 60th in scoring offense, 18th in FG%, and 70th in scoring defense. Oklahoma has lost 2 of their last 3 games, but it’s hard to fault the Sooners considering they were both competitive games at Kansas & Texas Tech. Oklahoma is much more well-rounded team this season and have been led by their defense that ranks 60th in scoring defense, 11th in defensive FG%, and 44th in rebound margin.
TCU has struggled recently ATS in Big-12 play, however, I’m high on this the Horned Frogs this season and think they just have more talent than the Sooners. I expect this game to be a dog-fight that comes down to the last few possessions and think TCU at worst, will pull a cover with the points.