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Omaha vs. Purdue Fort Wayne - 3/11/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Purdue Fort Wayne at Omaha
Date & Time Monday March 11, 2019, 9:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Denny Sanford Premier Center
Sioux Falls, SD
The Line
Omaha Mavericks +1 -- Over/Under: 164.5
TV Channel
ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Purdue Fort Wayne at Omaha
Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons and Omaha Mavericks will square off at the Denny Sanford Premier Center in the Semifinals of the Summit League Men’s Championship this Monday night.

The 3-seed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (18-14; 9-7) made quick work of the 6-seed South Dakota Coyotes and kept their NCAA hopes alive defeating the Coyotes by a 96-70 margin on Sunday night. Purdue Fort Wayne dominated South Dakota on both ends of the court and had little trouble securing the victory after taking a 52-25 halftime lead. Purdue Fort Wayne shot 57.9% from the field while holding South Dakota to just 36.1% shooting from the field and 20.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Mastodons was John Konchar who had a triple-double with 18 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists, 1 block, and 2 steals.

Coming into their game against South Dakota, Purdue Fort Wayne was averaging 83.0 ppg on 45.9% shooting from the field. The Mastodons were averaging 10.8 three-pointers per game on 37.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Purdue Fort Wayne has been led by John Konchar (19.7 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 5.3 apg, 1.9 spg), Kason Harrell (15.1 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.0 spg), Matt Holba (11.8 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Dylan Carl (6.8 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 bpg).

Defensively, Purdue Fort Wayne was allowing their opponents to average 78.2 ppg on 45.9% shooting from the field. The Mastodons had a rebound margin of -1.5 and a turnover margin of 1.3.

The 2-seed Omaha Mavericks (20-10; 13-3) had more than a battle than they expected, however, was able to advance to the Semifinals after defeating the North Dakota Fighting Hawks, 81-76, this past Saturday. Omaha struggled a bit defensively agianst the Fighting Hawks, however, was able to hang on for the victory after taking a 68-59 lead with 11:23 left in regulation. Omaha shot 43.9% from the field and outrebounded North Dakota by a 41-30 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Mavericks was Zach Jackson who had 21 points, 8 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.

On the season, Omaha is averaging 80.0 ppg on 47.9% shooting from the field. The Mavericks are averaging 8.8 three-pointers per game on 39.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Omaha has been led by Zack Jackson (18.4 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.9 apg), Mitchell Hahn (13.5 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.7 apg), JT Gibson (13.3 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 apg), and Matt Pile (11.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.3 apg).

Defensively, Omaha is allowing their opponents to average 77.4 ppg on 47.1% shooting from the field. The Mavericks have a rebound margin of -1.1 and a turnover margin of 2.9.

Omaha was able to defeat Purdue Fort Wayne in both regular season match-ups this season as the Mavericks won by an 85-79 (OT) margin on the road in late January, while, defeating the Mastodons by a 74-71 margin at home in mid-January.

The Mastodons are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.

With South Dakota State suffering a shocking upset in the first round to Western Carolina, the automatic bid for the Summit League is completely up for grabs and both the Mastodons and Mavericks have a great opportunity to make the NCAA Tournament. This should be a high scoring game as both teams play at a fast pace and know how to score the basketball. Purdue Fort Wayne looked good against South Dakota, however, this is the same team that lost their last 4 games of the regular season and haven't been outstanding on the road this season as they posted just a 6-9 record in away games. This should be an exciting, high-scoring game, however, as I trust the Omaha offense a bit more than I do the Mastodons, I think the play here is to take Omaha and the point. Good Luck!

Pick:
Omaha Mavericks +1

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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