Oregon vs. UCLA - 1/10/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UCLA at Oregon
Thursday, January 10, 2019 at 9:00 PM (Matthew Knight Arena)
Oregon Ducks -4.5
The UCLA Bruins will travel to Matthew Knight Arena to take on the Oregon Ducks this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The UCLA Bruins won their 2nd straight game and improved to 9-6 (2-0 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the California Golden Bears, 98-83, this past Saturday. UCLA had no trouble putting up points against the California defense and pulled away after taking a 75-61 lead midway through the 2nd half. UCLA shot 53.1% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bruins was Kris Wilkes who had 18 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 block, and a steal.
Offensively, UCLA is averaging 78.9 ppg on 46.1% shooting from the field. The Bruins are averaging 7.5 three-pointers per game on 33.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UCLA has been led by Kris Wilkes (17.3 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.5 apg), Moses Brown (12.2 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 2.4 bpg), Jaylen Hands (11.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 6.9 apg, 1.3 spg), and Chris Smith (8.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.4 apg).
Defensively, UCLA allowing their opponents to an average 73.9 ppg on 39.9% shooting from the field. The Bruins have a rebound margin of 5.7 and a turnover margin of -2.9.
The Oregon Ducks dropped to 9-5 (0-1 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Oregon State Beavers, 77-72, this past Saturday night. Oregon fought back to make it a game late after trailing by a 43-25 margin early in the 2nd half, however, came up short at the end after allowing the Beavers to finish the last 1:10 of regulation on a 6-0 run. Oregon allowed Oregon State to shoot 51.0% from the field while the Ducks shot just 37.7% from the field & 33.3% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Ducks was Louis King who had a double-double with 17 points, 10 rebounds, 1 block, and a steal.
On the season, Oregon is averaging 72.1 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Ducks are averaging 7.1 three-pointers per game on 34.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Oregon has been led by Bol Bol (21.0 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 1.0 apg, 2.7 bpg), Payton Pritchard (12.4 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.4 spg), Paul White (9.4 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Louis King (7.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg). Oregon will be without Bol Bol who is out for the season due to a foot injury.
Defensively, Oregon is holding their opponents to an average of 63.6 ppg on 38.3% shooting from the field. The Ducks have a rebound margin of 2.3 and a turnover margin of 1.1.
The Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. Pac-12 opponents, however, are just 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games. The Ducks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss, however, are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. Pac-12 opponents.
UCLA has looked solid since Murry Bartow has taken over for Steve Alford as the Bruins opened up Pac-12 with blowout victories over Stanford & California. UCLA comes into this game ranked T-74th in scoring offense, 45th in rebound margin and 24th in steals per game. Oregon has lost 2 of their last 3 games and although their defense is ranked 28th in scoring offense & 16th in defensive FG%, the Ducks offense has struggled this season as they rank just 226th in scoring offense.
UCLA has struggled this season however, the Bruins have a ton of talent and I still think they’ll be near the top of the Pac-12 standings by seasons end. Oregon is going to struggle without Bol Bol and as they already have home losses agianst Texas Southern & Oregon State, I think UCLA and their offense will be able to do enough on the road to at worst, cover with the points.