Oregon vs. Virginia - 3/28/19 NCAA Tournament College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Virginia vs. Oregon
Thursday, March 28, 2019 at 8:59 PM (KFC Yum! Center)
The Line: Virginia -8 -- Over/Under: 119
The Virginia Cavaliers and Oregon Ducks meet Thursday in the Sweet 16 of the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the KFC Yum! Center.
The Virginia Cavaliers look for their third Elite Eight appearance since 1995 after beating Gardner-Webb and Oklahoma. The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 71.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 55 points on 38.1 percent shooting. Kyle Guy is averaging 15.4 points and 4.4 rebounds while De'Andre Hunter is averaging 15.4 points and 2.1 assists. Ty Jerome is the third double-digit scorer and Braxton Key is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Cavaliers are allowing 27.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game. The Virginia Cavaliers have won nine of their last 10 non-home games.
The Oregon Ducks look for their fifth Elite Eight appearance since 2002 after beating Wisconsin and UC Irvine. The Oregon Ducks are averaging 70.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 62.7 points on 39.9 percent shooting. Payton Pritchard is averaging 12.9 points and 3.8 rebounds while Louis King is averaging 12.8 points and 1.3 assists. Paul White is the third double-digit scorer and Victor Bailey Jr. is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Oregon Ducks are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 72 percent from the free throw line. The Oregon Ducks are allowing 29.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game. The Oregon Ducks have won won eight straight non-home games.
The Ducks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 44-19-1 ATS in their last 64 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 non-conference games. The under is 15-5-1 in Ducks last 21 overall.
I've been on these Oregon Ducks the last couple of weeks and tried to warn you guys before the tournament started that this wasn't your typical 12-seed. Oregon has that feel that Michigan had last year, a team that gets hot to finish the regular season, runs through the conference tournament and carries that momentum throughout the big dance. The Ducks are playing high level defense and are hitting those outside shots with confidence, which will be key against this Virginia defense. I'm obviously worried about pace with Virginia, as the Cavs can slowdown Oregon and make this team uncomfortable. Still, I'm not turning down free points with Oregon, the hottest team in the tournament. We should also mention that Virginia hasn't exactly been impressive through its first two games, needing a comeback to beat Gardner-Webb and even allowing an average Oklahoma team to hang around. Give me the points.