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Pepperdine vs. Pacific - 3/7/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pacific at Pepperdine
Date & Time Thursday March 7, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Orleans Arena
Las Vegas, NV
The Line
Pepperdine Waves -2 -- O/U: 139.5
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James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

The Pacific Tigers and the Pepperdine Waves meet in a West Coast Conference tournament first round matchup in college basketball action from the Orleans Arena on Thursday night.

The Pacific Tigers come into the tournament as the #9 seed after finishing the regular season with a 14-17 record, including 4-12 in WCC conference play. The Tigers gave themselves some tough dates in the non-conference portion of their schedule with losses to Nevada, UNLV, Fresno State and Boise State. Conference play was tough for Pacific, losing their first 3 and 5 of their first 6. The Tigers then put out another 6-game losing skid before ending the year on a high-note with a win over Pepperdine. Offense was definitely an issue for Pacific, scoring more than 66 points just 3 times in 16 conference games. Roberto Gallinat led the Tigers in scoring with 15.3 points while Jahlil Tripp came 2nd with 10.9 points along with team-high averages of 5.8 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. Lafayette Dorsey also added 10.7 points per game as the team’s 3rd double-digit scorer this season. As a team, Pacific is averaging 67.3 points per game on 42.5% shooting from the field, 35.3% from behind the 3-point line and 74.8% from the foul line this season.

The Pepperdine Waves enter the conference tournament with the #8 seed after finishing the regular season with a 13-17 overall record, including 6-10 in WCC conference play. Pepperdine didn’t have a particularly tough non-conference portion of their schedule, with the biggest name being a 15-point loss to Oregon State. The Waves also faced off against the likes of Long Beach State, Miami-Ohio, Georgia Southern and Northern Colorado. It was up and down through the first half of conference play as the Waves went 4-4, but finished losing 6 of their last 8 games down the stretch. Colbey Ross led the Waves with 19.3 points and 7.3 assists per game while Kameron Edwards came 2nd with 15.9 points per game. Eric Cooper Jr. is the 3rd-leading scorer with 10.7 points per game and Kessler Edwards is Pepperdine’s 4th double-digit scorer with 10.2 points per game. Jade’ Smith leads the Waves on the glass with 6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Pepperdine is averaging 76 points per game on 44.2% shooting from the field, 37.7% from behind the 3-point line and 76% from the foul line this season.

Pacific is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. Pepperdine is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 conference games while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record. Pacific is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Pepperdine has been a tough out in conference play, so it’s not hard to see the Waves favored here, and getting a low line with Pepperdine makes it all the more tempting. However, even with only 4 wins, two of Pacific’s victories this season came over Pepperdine, including in the season finale less than a week ago. Sometimes a team just has your number, which is why I’m going to take a stab with Pacific and the free bucket here.

Pacific +2

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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