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Portland vs. Cal Poly - 11/23/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cal Poly Mustangs (1-3) at Portland Pilots (4-2)
Date & Time Friday November 23, 2018, 10:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Portland Pilots -9 -- Over/Under: 140
TV Channel
http://wccsports.com/watch/?id=153041
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NCAA BB | Cal Poly Mustangs (1-3) at Portland Pilots (4-2)
John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

The Cal Poly Mustangs will travel to the Chiles Center to take on the Portland Pilots this Friday night in College Basketball action.

The Cal Poly Mustangs lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 1-3 on the season after being defeated by the Texas State Bobcats, 54-42, this past Wednesday. Cal Poly went into halftime with a 23-16 lead however, struggled on both ends of the court in the 2nd half and allowed Texas State to pull away late for the double-digit victory. Cal Poly shot just 36.6% from the field and just 18.8% from beyond the arc. Cal Poly was outrebounded by Texas State by a 36-22 margin and committed 15 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Mustangs was Donovan Fields who had 11 points, 3 assists, 1 rebound, 1 block, and 4 steals.

On the season, Cal Poly is averaging 63.8 ppg on 43.2% shooting from the field. The Mustangs are averaging 7.8 three-pointers per game on 34.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Cal Poly has been led by Donovan Fields (17.5 ppg, 1.5 rpg, 3.3 apg, 2.3 spg), Marcellus Garrick (11.3 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg), Jakub Niziol (8.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.8 apg), and Mark Crowe (8.3 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.5 apg).

Defensively, Cal Poly is allowing their opponents to average 73.8 ppg on 46.8% shooting from the field. The Mustangs have a rebound margin of -4.0 and a turnover margin of -4.8.

The Portland Pilots won their 3rd straight game and improved to 4-2 on the season after defeating the South Carolina Upstate Spartans, 73-56, this past Wednesday. Portland was outstanding on the defensive end agianst South Carolina Update and had no trouble getting their winning streak alive after taking a 38-19 halftime. Portland outrebounded the Spartans by a 47-36 margin and committed 14 turnovers in the win. Leading the way for the Pilots was Josh McSwiggan who had 17 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists.

On the season, Portland is averaging 79.7 ppg on 46.9% shooting from the field. The Pilots are averaging 6.8 three-pointers per game on 36.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Portland has been led by Marcus Shaver Jr. (17.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.8 apg, 2.2 spg), Josh McSwiggan (15.3 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.7 apg), JoJo Walker (12.5 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.5 apg), and Franklin Porter (6.3 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.3 apg).

Defensively, Portland is allowing their opponents to average 75.5 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. The Pilots have a rebound margin of 5.0 and average just 5.8 spg.

The Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. WCC opponents however, just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

It’s been a tough start for the Cal Poly as although they were competitive in games agianst Arizona and Washington State, the Mustangs comes into this game ranked just 321st in scoring offense and T-226th in scoring defense. Portland returned a bunch of experience from their 10-22 team, including a strong backcourt of Marcus Shaver Jr & JoJo Walker, however, it’s a bit concerning that their defense ranks just T*144th in scoring defense and 203rd in defensive FG%. Cal Poly is going to have a tough time picking up their first win in this one, however, I think the offense will be able to find their footing a bit against the Pilots in this one and the Mustangs do enough to cover with the points.

Pick:
Cal Poly Mustangs +9

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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