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Purdue vs. Belmont - 12/29/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Belmont Bruins (9-1) at Purdue Boilermakers (7-5)
Date & Time Saturday December 29, 2018, 4:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers -10 -- Over/Under: 159.5
TV Channel
FS-1
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Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports

The Belmont Bruins and the Purdue Boilermakers meet in college basketball action from Mackey Arena on Saturday afternoon. 

The Belmont Bruins come into this game looking to build on a 3-game winning streak after an 80-74 win over Western Kentucky in their last outing. Dylan Windler and Grayson Murphy tied for the team-high with 20 points with Windler shooting 9 of 16 with a team-high 11 rebounds while Murphy shot 7 of 17 with 5 threes, 4 assists and 3 steals. Kevin McClain added 12 points and a team-high 8 assists and 4 steals to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Belmont in the winning effort. Windler leads the Bruins with an average of 19.2 points and 9.1 rebounds per game while Murphy leads Belmont in assists with 6.8 assists per game this season. As a team, Belmont is averaging the 7th-most points per game in D-I, putting up 89.5 points per game on 48.7% shooting from the field, 37.3% from behind the arc and 68.9% from the foul line this season.

The Purdue Boilermakers will look to build some steam after a 95-67 win over Ohio in their last outing. Carsen Edwards led the Boilermakers with 30 points on 10 of 16 shooting with 4 threes and a team-high 5 assists with 3 steals while Ryan Cline added 19 points on 7 of 11 shooting with 5 threes and 4 assists. Eric Hunter Jr. added 13 points on 5 of 6 shooting with a pair of threes and 4 assists to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Purdue in the victory. Trevion Williams added 5 points with a pair of blocks and a team-high 8 rebounds as well in the winning effort. Edwards leads Purdue with an average of 26 points and 3.8 assists per game while Evan Boudreaux leads the Boilermakers on the glass with 4.9 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Purdue is averaging 78.8 points per game on 45.8% shooting from the field, 37.5% from behind the arc and 73.9% from the foul line this season. 

Belmont is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games while the over is 15-5 in their last 20 games following a win. Purdue is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against the OVC. 

I can understand why Purdue would be the favorite here being at home. However, giving up double digit lines against Belmont is not something I’m interested in with the Boilermakers. I’ve often said that it’s usually Edwards or bust for Purdue, and it’s rang true for most of the season, including in the win over Ohio where Edwards put up 30 points. Belmont is one of the most explosive offensive units in the country as a team, putting up almost 90 points per game, and if the shots aren’t falling for Purdue, there’s only so much that Edwards can do as one man. I like the value of the points here as I think Belmont has a chance to win this game outright as a double-digit dog.

Pick:
Belmont +10

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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