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Rio Grande vs. Cal State Bakersfield - 3/14/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cal State Bakersfield at Rio Grande
Date & Time Thursday March 14, 2019, 5:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Orleans Arena
Las Vegas, NV
The Line
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros -1.5 -- Over/Under: 135
TV Channel
ESPN+
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Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners and UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros will square off at Orleans Arena this Thursday night in the Quarterfinals of the WAC Men’s Tournament.

The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners finished their regular season with an overall record of 16-14 and earned the 5-seed in the WAC Men’s Tournament after finishing conference play with a 7-9 record. CSU Bakersfield started off conference play with an impressive 7-1 record, however, the Roadrunners have really struggled as of late and come into postseason play losing 8 of their last 9 games. CSU Bakersfield comes into this game ranked 213th in scoring offense, 164th in scoring defense, and 37th in rebound margin.

On the season, CSU Bakersfield is averaging 71.4 ppg on 42.9% shooting from the field. The Roadrunners are averaging 6.9 three-pointers per game on 33.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, CSU Bakersfield has been led by Jarkel Joiner (16.1 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg), Rickey Holden (10.8 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 3.9 apg, 1.1 spg), Damiyne Durham (10.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.1 apg), and Justin Davis (9.2 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.2 apg).

Defensively, CSU Bakersfield is allowing their opponents to an average of 70.7 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Roadrunners had a rebound margin of 4.9 and a turnover margin of 1.1.

The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros finished their regular season with an overall record of 18-15 and earned the 4-seed in the WAC Men’s Tournament after finishing conference play with a 9-7 record. UT Rio Grande Valley didn’t pick up a large amount of wins in their non-conference schedule, however they did have an impressive showing in a 58-53 loss at Houston and the Vaqueros do come into postseason play winning 8 of their last 11 games.

On the season, UT Rio Grande Valley is averaging 70.2 ppg on 41.1% shooting from the field. The Vaqueros are averaging 5.3 three-pointers per game on 31.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UT Rio Grande Valley has been led by Terry Win III (12.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.5 apg), Lesley Varner II (11.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.5 spg), Javon Levi (9.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 5.6 apg, 2.9 spg) and Tyson Smith (9.7 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.1 spg).

Defensively, UT Rio Grande Valley is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Vaqueros have a rebound margin of -5.6 and a turnover margin of 5.0.

CSU Bakersfield and UT Rio Grande Valley split their regular season series as the Roadrunners won by a 75-69 margin on the road in early January while the Vaqueros won by a 79-74 margin in OT in early February.

The Roadrunners are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Vaqueros are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Both of these teams played each other tough in the regular season, however, it’s hard to ignore that they’ve gone in different directions since their last meeting as the Roadrunners have struggled while the Vaqueros have thrived. UT Rio Grande Valley is a solid team that can give opponents trouble on the defensive end as they rank 3rd in steals and as I think the Vaqueros is the better team in this one, I think they’ll pull away in the 2nd half and cover this small spread. Good Luck!

Pick:
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros -1.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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